08.08.2026 18:00
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: David Huaman, Peru
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
A. Rodriguez ↔ H. Rengifo
ADT
VAR
21'
Adolfo Muñoz
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
22'
Gilmar Paredes
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
26'
Adolfo Muñoz
UTC Cajamarca
VAR
45'
David Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
57'
D. Dioses ↔ A. Arroyo
UTC Cajamarca
68'
J. J. Canela Torres · Assist: J. Garcilazo
ADT
🔄
72'
F. Cavagna ↔ J. Huerto
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
L. Garro ↔ L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
76'
↔ S. Peralta
ADT
🟨
78'
Arquímedes Figuera
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
80'
D. Caro ↔ M. de Jesus
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
85'
J. J. Canela Torres ↔ L. Rugel
ADT
🔄
85'
J. Bauman ↔ J. Reyes
ADT
🟨
88'
Orlando Nuñez
ADT
🟥
90+9'
Ignacio Barrios
UTC Cajamarca
VAR
90+15'
Marlon de Jesús
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
90+19'
Juan Valencia
ADT
🟨
90+1'
Said Peralta
ADT
🟥
90+9'
Joaquin Pereyra
ADT
90'
M. Lliuya
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca vs ADT Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 38.5%
Draw 27.1%
ADT Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.22
ADT1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 22 matches
ADT ADT 21 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic ADT
5 Wins 5
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 11
25 Goals For 24
34 Goals Against 28
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.35 Total Shots 12.6
4.6 Corners 3.95
51.4% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with ADT's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ADT. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ADT arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and ADT in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADT having the stronger overall control.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

So far, UTC Cajamarca have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 18 points from 17 matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcos Lliuya (2 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), Adolfo Muñoz (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

ADT sit 10 with 20 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:21 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), Carlos Cabello (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, ADT won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.9%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-1-4-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 3, draws 5, ADT wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17
ADT Away
25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2