PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
Referee: D. Huaman
UTC Cajamarca
Match Timeline
ADT
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
A. Rodriguez ↔ H. Rengifo
ADT
VAR
20'
A. Munoz
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
23'
G. Paredes
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
26'
A. Munoz
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
28'
F. Usucar
ADT
VAR
44'
D. Camacho
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
57'
D. Dioses ↔ A. Arroyo
UTC Cajamarca
68'
J. J. Canela Torres · Assist: J. Garcilazo
ADT
🔄
72'
L. Garro ↔ L. Arce
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
72'
F. Cavagna ↔ J. Huerto
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
76'
H. Rengifo ↔ S. Peralta
ADT
🟨
78'
A. Figuera
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
80'
D. Caro ↔ M. de Jesus
UTC Cajamarca
🔄
85'
J. J. Canela Torres ↔ L. Rugel
ADT
🔄
85'
J. Bauman ↔ J. Reyes
ADT
🟨
87'
F. Usucar
ADT
🟨
88'
O. Nunez
ADT
🟨
90+2'
S. Peralta
ADT
🟥
90+9'
J. Pereyra
ADT
🟥
90+9'
I. Barrios
UTC Cajamarca
🟨
90+16'
J. Valencia
ADT
90+18'
M. Lliuya
UTC Cajamarca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.6%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 38.5%
Draw 27.1%
ADT Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.22
ADT1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
25 GF / 34 GA
ADT ADT
WLDWL
24 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
10
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 22 matches
ADT ADT 21 matches
UTC Cajamarca Statistic ADT
5 Wins 5
8 Draws 5
9 Losses 11
25 Goals For 24
34 Goals Against 28
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 6
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.9
12.35 Total Shots 12.6
4.6 Corners 3.95
51.4% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with ADT's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring ADT. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. ADT arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UTC Cajamarca expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and ADT in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward ADT having the stronger overall control.

UTC Cajamarca Analysis

So far, UTC Cajamarca have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 18 points from 17 matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 21:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcos Lliuya (2 goals), Abdiel Arroyo (2 goals), Adolfo Muñoz (1 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

ADT Analysis

ADT sit 10 with 20 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats with a 22:21 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), Jordan Guivin (3 goals), Joao Rojas (2 goals), with creative support from Joao Rojas (2 assists), John Narváez (2 assists), Carlos Cabello (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, ADT won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.9%)
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 4-1-4-1 / ADT 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 3, draws 5, ADT wins 3
Stats
UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca
ADT ADT
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 1
9 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 6
6 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 7
12 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
478 Total passes 233
419 Passes accurate 174
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

UTC Cajamarca
Formation
ADT
Ignacio Barrios
Ignacio Barrios
Luis Garro
Luis Garro
Manuel Ganoza
Manuel Ganoza
Francesco Cavagna
Francesco Cavagna
Dylan Caro
Dylan Caro
Arquímedes Figuera
Arquímedes Figuera
David Camacho
David Camacho
Gilmar Paredes
Gilmar Paredes
David Dioses
David Dioses
Adolfo Muñoz
Adolfo Muñoz
Marcos Lliuya
Marcos Lliuya
Juan Valencia
Juan Valencia
Ángel Ojeda
Ángel Ojeda
Joaquin Pereyra
Joaquin Pereyra
Horacio Benincasa
Horacio Benincasa
Orlando Nuñez
Orlando Nuñez
Jhojan Garcilazo
🎯
Jhojan Garcilazo
Josué Alvino
Josué Alvino
Luis Pérez
Luis Pérez
Jeremy Canela
Jeremy Canela
Marco Aldair Rodríguez
Marco Aldair Rodríguez
Jonathan Bauman
Jonathan Bauman
UTC Cajamarca 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
29
Ignacio Barrios
🟥 90+9'
G
17
Luis Garro
↓ 72'
D
3
Manuel Ganoza
D
6
Francesco Cavagna
↓ 72'
D
13
Dylan Caro
↓ 80'
D
16
Arquímedes Figuera
🟨 78'
M
22
David Camacho
M
35
Gilmar Paredes
🟨 23'
M
8
David Dioses
↓ 57'
M
19
Adolfo Muñoz
🟨 26'
M
10
Marcos Lliuya
⚽ 90+18'
F
Substitutes
11
Abdiel Arroyo
↑ 57'
F
5
Carlos Junior Huerto
↑ 72'
D
88
Luis Arce
↑ 72'
M
9
Marlon de Jesús
↑ 80'
F
21
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
7
Jhosep Nuñez
F
18
Santiago Gálvez
F
ADT 4-4-2
Starting XI
30
Juan Valencia
🟨 90+16'
G
6
Ángel Ojeda
D
99
Joaquin Pereyra
🟥 90+9'
D
44
Horacio Benincasa
D
59
Orlando Nuñez
🟨 88'
D
26
Jhojan Garcilazo
🎯 68'
M
15
Josué Alvino
M
16
Luis Pérez
M
80
Jeremy Canela
⚽ 68' ↓ 85'
M
22
Marco Aldair Rodríguez
↓ 11'
F
32
Jonathan Bauman
↓ 85'
F
Substitutes
9
Hernán Rengifo
↑ 11' ↓ 76'
F
24
Said Peralta
M
3
Leonardo Rugel
↑ 85'
D
2
Jair Reyes
↑ 85'
M
33
Carlos Solis
G
31
Jerry Navarro
D
28
Jhair Soto
D
27
Alexander Hidalgo
M
25
Sinclair García
M
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
16.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
01.08.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
4
L
26.07.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
18.07.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
08.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
2
3
L
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
13.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
3
2
W
Last matches: ADT
15.08.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
25.07.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
1
0
W
H2H: UTC Cajamarca vs ADT
08.08.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
22.02.26
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
16.09.25
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
3
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
0
1
L
20.08.24
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
16.03.24
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
1
L
28.08.23
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
0
0
D
08.04.23
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
0
W
08.01.23
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
0
2
W
20.10.22
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
19.06.22
H2H
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
W
Last matches: UTC Cajamarca
26.07.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
0
0
D
08.05.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
2
2
D
15.04.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco
1
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
UTC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
H2H at home: UTC Cajamarca
08.08.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
0
1
L
20.08.24
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
0
W
20.10.22
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D
Last matches: ADT
25.07.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
H2H away: ADT
08.08.26
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
20.04.25
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
0
1
W
20.08.24
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
1
0
L
20.10.22
H2H
UTC Cajamarca
ADT
2
2
D

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10
ADT Away
17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)