ALGERIA LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade du 5 Juillet 1962
USM Alger
Match Timeline
Mostaganem
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
R. Benayad
USM Alger
🟨
21'
USM Alger
USM Alger
22'
F. H. Laireche
Mostaganem
🟨
37'
A. B. Bibi A.
Mostaganem
🟨
39'
S. Atmania
USM Alger
🟨
40'
USM Alger
USM Alger
🔄
46'
O. Boulares ↔ A. Limane
USM Alger
🔄
46'
M. Boutaoui ↔ A. Achouri
USM Alger
🔄
55'
A. B. Bibi A. ↔ R. Ramadan
Mostaganem
🔄
55'
I. Hamdi ↔ A. Gaagaa
Mostaganem
🟨
58'
A. Bin Mahdi
Mostaganem
🔄
68'
B. Sryer ↔ A. Slimane
Mostaganem
🟥
79'
B. Benamar
Mostaganem
🔄
85'
A. Namani ↔ M. Toumi
Mostaganem
🔄
85'
F. H. Laireche ↔ A. Budiya
Mostaganem

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 90%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 66.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 42.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
90%
-
BTTS BTTS No
66.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
42.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
USM Alger Win 90%
Draw 10%
Mostaganem Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
USM Alger1.28
Mostaganem0.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
USM Alger USM Alger
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Mostaganem Mostaganem
WLDWL
15 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.56
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
11
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USM Alger USM Alger 22 matches
Mostaganem Mostaganem 27 matches
USM Alger Statistic Mostaganem
6 Wins 4
11 Draws 5
5 Losses 18
22 Goals For 15
18 Goals Against 46
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.56
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
11 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 13
6 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by USM Alger's more proactive style and Mostaganem's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mostaganem having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Mostaganem. USM Alger arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 13 with 29 points compared to Mostaganem in 15 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

USM Alger Analysis

USM Alger sit 13 with 29 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 22:18, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Khaldi (5 goals), Z. Draoui (3 goals), A. Alilet (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Mostaganem Analysis

Mostaganem sit 15 with 17 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 18 defeats with a 15:46 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Z. Motrani (5 goals), A. Askar (2 goals), A. El Moudene (2 goals), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 12 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, USM Alger won 2 times, Mostaganem won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from USM Alger's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: USM Alger wins 2, draws 2, Mostaganem wins 0

Lineups

USM Alger
Formation
Mostaganem
A. Sifour
A. Sifour
S. Atmania
S. Atmania
I. Azzi
I. Azzi
A. Abada
A. Abada
I. Chetti
I. Chetti
R. Mahrouz
R. Mahrouz
M. Boutaoui
M. Boutaoui
M. Bouderbala
M. Bouderbala
O. Boulares
O. Boulares
G. Likonza
G. Likonza
R. Benayad
R. Benayad
M. Aziria
M. Aziria
A. Namani
A. Namani
B. Benamar
B. Benamar
F. H. Laireche
F. H. Laireche
M. Ezzemani
M. Ezzemani
A. Bin Mahdi
A. Bin Mahdi
B. Sryer
B. Sryer
I. Hamdi
I. Hamdi
E. K. Khodja
E. K. Khodja
A. B. Bibi A.
A. B. Bibi A.
A. Othmani
A. Othmani
USM Alger 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Sifour
3
S. Atmania
🟨 39'
5
I. Azzi
28
A. Abada
23
I. Chetti
20
R. Mahrouz
22
M. Boutaoui
↓ 46'
24
M. Bouderbala
26
O. Boulares
↓ 46'
11
G. Likonza
9
R. Benayad
⚽ 9'
Substitutes
16
K. Soufi
2
W. Kourdi
33
I. Bayoud
A. Limane
↑ 46'
A. Achouri
↑ 46'
Mostaganem 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
M. Aziria
28
A. Namani
↓ 85'
4
B. Benamar
🟥 79'
31
F. H. Laireche
⚽ 22' ↓ 85'
12
M. Ezzemani
43
A. Bin Mahdi
🟨 58'
26
B. Sryer
↓ 68'
29
I. Hamdi
↓ 55'
24
E. K. Khodja
19
A. B. Bibi A.
↓ 55' 🟨 37'
11
A. Othmani
Substitutes
2
A. Boualleg
33
A. Slimane
↑ 68'
42
R. Ramadan
↑ 55'
45
A. Ben Zina
8
T. Benkhelifa
21
A. Gaagaa
↑ 55'
20
M. Toumi
↑ 85'
44
A. Budiya
↑ 85'
Last matches: USM Alger
06.06.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Oran
2
2
D
04.06.26
Lig
USM Alger
Ben Aknoun
2
2
D
02.06.26
Lig
USM Alger
CR Belouizdad
1
1
D
30.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
MB Rouisset
0
1
L
25.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
Khenchela
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
Paradou AC
4
2
W
19.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
Olympique Akbou
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
USM Alger
ASO Chlef
1
2
L
01.04.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Alger
0
1
L
25.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Kabylie
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
ES Setif
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
CS Constantine
0
0
D
27.02.26
Lig
USM Alger
El Bayadh
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Saoura
1
2
L
08.01.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Oran
1
1
D
27.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
Olympique Akbou
1
1
D
22.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
MB Rouisset
2
0
W
18.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
Ben Aknoun
2
2
D
08.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
JS Kabylie
2
1
W
17.11.25
Lig
USM Alger
Mostaganem
2
2
D
Last matches: Mostaganem
05.06.26
Lig
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
2
2
D
19.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
3
L
07.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
0
4
L
10.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
7
L
17.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Paradou AC
3
2
W
13.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ASO Chlef
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Alger
0
5
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ES Setif
0
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Kabylie
2
2
D
14.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MB Rouisset
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Oran
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CS Constantine
1
2
L
23.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Olympique Akbou
1
0
W
08.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
1
L
29.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
2
3
L
17.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
USM Alger
2
2
D
08.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
2
L
H2H: USM Alger vs Mostaganem
12.05.26
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
1
D
17.11.25
H2H
Mostaganem
USM Alger
2
2
D
06.03.25
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
0
W
22.10.24
H2H
Mostaganem
USM Alger
0
1
W
Last matches: USM Alger
02.06.26
Lig
USM Alger
CR Belouizdad
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
Paradou AC
4
2
W
19.05.26
Lig
USM Alger
Olympique Akbou
1
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Kabylie
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
ES Setif
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
USM Alger
CS Constantine
0
0
D
21.02.26
Lig
USM Alger
JS Saoura
1
2
L
08.01.26
Lig
USM Alger
MC Oran
1
1
D
22.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
MB Rouisset
2
0
W
18.12.25
Lig
USM Alger
Ben Aknoun
2
2
D
02.11.25
Lig
USM Alger
ASO Chlef
1
0
W
29.09.25
Lig
USM Alger
El Bayadh
1
1
D
13.09.25
Lig
USM Alger
Khenchela
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
USM Alger
MC Alger
0
0
D
H2H at home: USM Alger
12.05.26
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
1
D
06.03.25
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
0
W
Last matches: Mostaganem
19.05.26
Lig
Mostaganem
Ben Aknoun
0
3
L
05.04.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CR Belouizdad
0
7
L
13.03.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ASO Chlef
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
ES Setif
0
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
MB Rouisset
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lig
Mostaganem
CS Constantine
1
2
L
08.01.26
Lig
Mostaganem
El Bayadh
0
1
L
20.12.25
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Saoura
2
3
L
08.11.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Khenchela
0
1
L
26.10.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Paradou AC
0
1
L
04.10.25
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Alger
0
1
L
24.09.25
Lig
Mostaganem
JS Kabylie
0
1
L
05.09.25
Lig
Mostaganem
MC Oran
0
0
D
22.08.25
Lig
Mostaganem
Olympique Akbou
0
1
L
H2H away: Mostaganem
12.05.26
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
1
D
06.03.25
H2H
USM Alger
Mostaganem
1
0
L