Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
USA Win 0%
Draw 0%
Mexico Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.29
Mexico2
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA
WWDLW
17 GF / 19 GA
Mexico
WLDWL
25 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.92
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
4
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.54
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
USA
9 matches
Mexico
13 matches
| USA | Statistic | Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 10 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 1 |
| 17 | Goals For | 25 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.38 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 11.89 | Total Shots | 13 |
| 5.11 | Corners | 4.85 |
| 52.4% | Ball Possession | 54.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, USA won 6 times, Mexico won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from USA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Mexico 4-1-2-3
H2H summary: USA wins 6, draws 3, Mexico wins 5
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Mexico
06.07.26
Wor
Mexico
England
2
3
L
01.07.26
Wor
Mexico
Ecuador
2
0
W
25.06.26
Wor
Mexico
Czechia
3
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Korea
1
0
W
11.06.26
Wor
Mexico
South Africa
2
0
W
05.06.26
Fri
Mexico
Serbia
5
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Australia
1
0
W
23.05.26
Fri
Mexico
Ghana
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Mexico
Belgium
1
1
D
29.03.26
Fri
Mexico
Portugal
0
0
D
26.02.26
Fri
Mexico
Iceland
4
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
H2H: USA vs Mexico
06.07.25
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
L
16.10.24
H2H
Mexico
USA
2
0
L
25.03.24
H2H
Mexico
USA
0
2
W
16.06.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
0
W
20.04.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
1
D
25.03.22
H2H
Mexico
USA
0
0
D
13.11.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
2
0
W
02.08.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
W
07.06.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
2
W
07.09.19
H2H
USA
Mexico
0
3
L
08.07.19
H2H
Mexico
USA
1
0
L
12.09.18
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
W
12.06.17
H2H
Mexico
USA
1
1
D
12.11.16
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
L
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
06.07.25
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
L
16.06.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
0
W
20.04.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
1
D
13.11.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
2
0
W
02.08.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
W
07.06.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
2
W
07.09.19
H2H
USA
Mexico
0
3
L
12.09.18
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
W
12.11.16
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
L
Last matches: Mexico
25.06.26
Wor
Mexico
Czechia
3
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Bolivia
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Mexico
Panama
1
0
W
H2H away: Mexico
06.07.25
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
W
16.06.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
0
L
20.04.23
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
1
D
13.11.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
2
0
L
02.08.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
L
07.06.21
H2H
USA
Mexico
3
2
L
07.09.19
H2H
USA
Mexico
0
3
W
12.09.18
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
0
L
12.11.16
H2H
USA
Mexico
1
2
W