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04.10.2026 02:00
USA
FT
3 - 0
Mexico
AT&T Stadium
Referee: Selvin Brown, Honduras

USA vs Mexico H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats
USA
Match Timeline
Mexico
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
28'
J. Hall
USA
🟨
35'
L. Romo
Mexico
🔄
46'
J. Gallardo ↔ M. Chavez Garcia
Mexico
🔄
46'
L. Romo ↔ L. Chavez
Mexico
⚽
62'
C. Sullivan
USA
🟨
64'
T. Adams
USA
🔄
65'
J. Hall ↔ J. Ellis
USA
🔄
65'
C. Sullivan ↔ Y. Musah
USA
🔄
66'
S. Sandoval ↔ A. Fidalgo
Mexico
🔄
66'
O. Pineda ↔ I. Violante
Mexico
🟥
67'
M. Chavez Garcia
Mexico
🟨
68'
S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
72'
S. Gimenez ↔ A. Gonzalez
Mexico
🔄
81'
R. Alvarado ↔ E. del Villar
Mexico
🔄
81'
E. Lira ↔ O. Vargas
Mexico
🔄
82'
G. Reyna ↔ P. Miller
USA
🔄
82'
S. Berhalter ↔ B. Raines
USA
⚽
84'
M. Tillman
USA
🔄
88'
M. Tillman ↔ M. Albert
USA

USA vs Mexico Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
USA Win 53.8%
Draw 3.9%
Mexico Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.55
Mexico1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
25 GF / 22 GA
Mexico Mexico
WLDWL
27 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2.27
Average Goals Scored
1.8
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.47
8
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
4
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 11 matches
Mexico Mexico 15 matches
USA Statistic Mexico
6 Wins 10
0 Draws 4
5 Losses 1
25 Goals For 27
22 Goals Against 7
2.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.47
8 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 10
1 Failed To Score 1
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.27
12.82 Total Shots 12.6
5.09 Corners 4.53
54.5% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, USA won 6 times, Mexico won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from USA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-4-2 / Mexico 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: USA wins 6, draws 3, Mexico wins 5