USA
Match Timeline
Germany
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
1 agree /
0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
62.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
USA Win 17.3%
Draw 8.5%
Germany Win 74.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.53
Germany3.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA
WWDLW
5 GF / 9 GA
Germany
WLDWL
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
3.33
3
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
3.33
Shots on Goal
9
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
USA
3 matches
Germany
3 matches
| USA | Statistic | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 3 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 5 | Goals For | 10 |
| 9 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.33 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 3.33 | Shots On Goal | 9 |
| 10.67 | Total Shots | 22.33 |
| 3.33 | Corners | 9.67 |
| 45.3% | Ball Possession | 62.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, USA won 0 times, Germany won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from USA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-2-3-1 / Germany 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: USA wins 0, draws 0, Germany wins 3
Stats
USA
Germany
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
6
6
Blocked Shots
5
5
Blocked Shots
2
2
Lineups
USA
Formation
Germany
M. Freese
A. Freeman
M. Robinson
T. Ream
A. Robinson
M. Tillman
T. Adams
S. Dest
W. McKennie
C. Pulisic
F. Balogun
O. Baumann
J. Kimmich
J. Tah
N. Schlotterbeck
N. Brown
F. Nmecha
A. Pavlovic
L. Sane
J. Musiala
F. Wirtz
K. Havertz
USA
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
M. Freese
G
16
A. Freeman
D
↓ 72'
12
M. Robinson
D
↓ 62'
13
T. Ream
D
↓ 72'
5
A. Robinson
D
⚽ 37'
↓ 63'
17
M. Tillman
M
↓ 72'
4
T. Adams
M
↓ 72'
2
S. Dest
M
↓ 72'
8
W. McKennie
M
↓ 62'
10
C. Pulisic
M
↓ 62'
20
F. Balogun
F
↓ 72'
Substitutes
25
C. Brady
G
1
M. Turner
G
6
A. Trusty
D
↑ 63'
9
R. Pepi
F
↑ 72'
7
G. Reyna
M
↑ 62'
14
S. Berhalter
M
↑ 62'
19
H. Wright
F
15
C. Roldan
M
↑ 72'
26
A. Zendejas
F
21
T. Weah
F
↑ 72'
🟨 90+2'
11
B. Aaronson
M
↑ 72'
22
M. McKenzie
D
↑ 62'
23
J. Scally
D
↑ 72'
18
M. Arfsten
M
↑ 72'
Germany
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
O. Baumann
G
6
J. Kimmich
D
🎯 2'
↓ 61'
4
J. Tah
D
15
N. Schlotterbeck
D
🟨 90+2'
18
N. Brown
D
↓ 61'
23
F. Nmecha
M
↓ 80'
5
A. Pavlovic
M
↓ 80'
19
L. Sane
M
⚽ 57'
↓ 72'
10
J. Musiala
M
↓ 80'
17
F. Wirtz
M
↓ 80'
7
K. Havertz
F
⚽ 2'
🎯 57'
↓ 61'
Substitutes
1
M. Neuer
G
21
A. Nubel
G
13
P. Gross
M
8
L. Goretzka
M
↑ 80'
2
A. Rudiger
D
20
N. Amiri
M
↑ 80'
14
M. Beier
F
↑ 80'
🟨 90'
24
M. Thiaw
D
11
N. Woltemade
F
9
J. Leweling
F
↑ 72'
3
W. Anton
D
↑ 61'
26
D. Undav
F
↑ 61'
22
D. Raum
D
↑ 61'
🟨 69'
16
A. Stiller
M
↑ 80'
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Germany
29.06.26
Wor
Germany
Paraguay
1
1
D
25.06.26
Wor
Germany
Ecuador
1
2
L
20.06.26
Wor
Germany
Ivory Coast
2
1
W
14.06.26
Wor
Germany
Curaçao
7
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
Germany
Finland
4
0
W
30.03.26
Fri
Germany
Ghana
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Germany
Switzerland
4
3
W
17.11.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
6
0
W
14.11.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
1
0
W
10.10.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
3
1
W
04.09.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
0
2
L
08.06.25
UEF
Germany
France
0
2
L
04.06.25
UEF
Germany
Portugal
1
2
L
23.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
2
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Germany
Hungary
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina
7
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Germany
Netherlands
1
0
W
H2H: USA vs Germany
06.06.26
H2H
USA
Germany
1
2
L
14.10.23
H2H
USA
Germany
1
3
L
26.06.14
H2H
USA
Germany
0
1
L
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
06.06.26
H2H
USA
Germany
1
2
L
14.10.23
H2H
USA
Germany
1
3
L
26.06.14
H2H
USA
Germany
0
1
L
Last matches: Germany
25.06.26
Wor
Germany
Ecuador
1
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Germany
Switzerland
4
3
W
14.11.25
Wor
Germany
Luxembourg
2
0
W
13.10.25
Wor
Germany
Northern Ireland
1
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Germany
Slovakia
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Germany
Italy
2
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Germany
Hungary
1
1
D
11.10.24
UEF
Germany
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
1
W
10.09.24
UEF
Germany
Netherlands
2
2
D
H2H away: Germany
06.06.26
H2H
USA
Germany
1
2
W
14.10.23
H2H
USA
Germany
1
3
W
26.06.14
H2H
USA
Germany
0
1
W