WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
90+1'
1 - 3
Lumen Field
Referee: Adham Mohammad, Jordan
USA
Live Timeline
Belgium
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
21'
A. Onana ↔ H. Vanaken
Belgium
31'
M. Tillman
USA
33'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🟨
35'
W. McKennie
USA
🔄
46'
S. Dest ↔ G. Reyna
USA
57'
H. Vanaken · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
🔄
59'
C. Pulisic ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
67'
D. Lukebakio ↔ J. Doku
Belgium
🔄
67'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
🟨
69'
M. Tillman
USA
🔄
72'
T. Adams ↔ R. Pepi
USA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
1.28
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.65
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.27
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
USA Win 43.1%
Draw 14.5%
Belgium Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.55
Belgium2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Belgium Belgium
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.88
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 8 matches
Belgium Belgium 8 matches
USA Statistic Belgium
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
16 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.88 Shots On Goal 6.63
12.5 Total Shots 19.13
5.38 Corners 5.38
52% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, USA won 0 times, Belgium won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from USA's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: USA 4-3-3 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
Missing players: USA 3, Belgium 1
H2H summary: USA wins 0, draws 0, Belgium wins 2
Stats
USA USA
Belgium Belgium
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
3
2 Corner Kicks 5
8 Fouls 7
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
445 Total passes 345
385 Passes accurate 283
0.50 expected_goals 2.04
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

USA
Formation
Belgium
Matthew Freese
Matthew Freese
Alexander Freeman
Alexander Freeman
Chris Richards
Chris Richards
Tim Ream
Tim Ream
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun
Christian Pulišić
Christian Pulišić
Thibaut Courtois
Thibaut Courtois
Timothy Castagne
Timothy Castagne
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy
Brandon Mechele
Brandon Mechele
Maxim De Cuyper
Maxim De Cuyper
Amadou Onana
Amadou Onana
Nicolas Raskin
🎯
Nicolas Raskin
Dodi Lukebakio
Dodi Lukebakio
Youri Tielemans
Youri Tielemans
Leandro Trossard
🎯
Leandro Trossard
Charles De Ketelaere
⚽ 2 🎯
Charles De Ketelaere
USA 4-3-3
Starting XI
24
Matthew Freese
G
16
Alexander Freeman
D
3
Chris Richards
D
13
Tim Ream
D
5
Antonee Robinson
D
8
Weston McKennie
🟨 35'
M
4
Tyler Adams
↓ 72'
M
17
Malik Tillman
⚽ 31' 🟨 69'
M
2
Sergiño Dest
↓ 46'
F
20
Folarin Balogun
F
10
Christian Pulišić
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
7
Giovanni Reyna
↑ 46'
M
14
Sebastian Berhalter
↑ 59'
M
1
Matt Turner
G
25
Chris Brady
G
12
Miles Robinson
D
22
Mark McKenzie
D
6
Auston Trusty
D
23
Joe Scally
D
26
Alex Zendejas
F
18
Maximilian Arfsten
M
21
Timothy Weah
F
11
Brenden Aaronson
M
19
Haji Wright
F
9
Ricardo Pepi
↑ 72'
F
Belgium 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Thibaut Courtois
G
21
Timothy Castagne
D
25
Nathan Ngoy
D
4
Brandon Mechele
D
5
Maxim De Cuyper
D
24
Amadou Onana
↓ 21'
M
23
Nicolas Raskin
🎯 9'
M
14
Dodi Lukebakio
↓ 67'
M
8
Youri Tielemans
M
10
Leandro Trossard
🎯 33'
M
17
Charles De Ketelaere
⚽ 9' ⚽ 33' 🎯 57' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
20
Hans Vanaken
⚽ 57' ↑ 21'
M
11
Jérémy Doku
↑ 67'
F
13
Mike Penders
G
12
Senne Lammens
G
18
Joaquin Seys
D
3
Arthur Theate
D
16
Koni De Winter
D
2
Zeno Debast
D
15
Thomas Meunier
D
19
Diego Moreira
F
22
Alexis Saelemaekers
F
6
Axel Witsel
M
7
Kevin De Bruyne
M
26
Matías Fernández-Pardo
F
9
Romelu Lukaku
↑ 67'
F
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
01.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
14.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
0
1
L
H2H: USA vs Belgium
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
01.07.14
H2H
Belgium
USA
2
1
L
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Belgium
France
0
2
L
H2H away: Belgium
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 3.51
Home 2.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.47
Draw 2.31
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 1.75 1.21
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.65
Over 2.75 1.83
Over 3.0 2.07
Over 3.25 2.32
Over 3.5 2.58
Over 3.75 3.04
Under 1.5 4.03
Under 1.75 4.38
Under 2.0 3.86
Under 2.25 2.81
Under 2.5 2.32
Under 2.75 2.09
Under 3.0 1.82
Under 3.25 1.64
Under 3.5 1.52
Under 3.75 1.39
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 3.40
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.38
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.62
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.50
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.20
Under 3.5 1.53
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 3.50
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.43
Draw 2.19
Home 3.11
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.69
Home 2.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.09
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.50
Over 2.5 1.69
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 1.99
Over 3.25 2.21
Over 3.5 2.45
Over 3.75 2.86
Over 4.0 3.58
Over 4.25 3.98
Over 4.5 4.30
Over 4.75 5.30
Over 5.0 7.20
Over 5.5 7.90
Over 6.5 19.00
Over 7.5 34.00
Under 0.5 13.20
Under 0.75 9.40
Under 1.0 9.70
Under 1.25 5.73
Under 1.5 4.25
Under 1.75 3.86
Under 2.0 3.40
Under 2.25 2.69
Under 2.5 2.26
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.73
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.46
Under 3.75 1.32
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.17
Under 4.5 1.15
Under 4.75 1.09
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.40
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.32
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.75
Home 2.65
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.0 1.33
Over 2.25 1.45
Over 2.5 1.63
Over 2.75 1.78
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.5 4.70
Over 5.5 9.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 2.0 3.30
Under 2.25 2.75
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 2.75 2.02
Under 3.0 1.79
Under 3.25 1.62
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 3.75 1.38
Under 4.5 1.18
Under 5.5 1.05

Missing Players

USA 3 missing
-
C. Roldan
Missing Fixture Muscle Bruise
OUT
-
F. Balogun
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
M. McKenzie
Missing Fixture Bruised Foot
OUT
Belgium 1 missing
-
Z. Debast
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT