WORLD WORLD CUP
07.07.2026 00:00
Lumen Field
Referee: Adham Mohammad, Jordan
USA
Match Timeline
Belgium
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
21'
A. Onana ↔ H. Vanaken
Belgium
31'
M. Tillman
USA
33'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🟨
35'
Weston McKennie
USA
🔄
46'
S. Dest ↔ G. Reyna
USA
57'
H. Vanaken · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
🔄
59'
C. Pulisic ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
67'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
🔄
67'
D. Lukebakio ↔ J. Doku
Belgium
🟨
69'
Malik Tillman
USA
🔄
72'
T. Adams ↔ R. Pepi
USA
🔄
89'
N. Raskin ↔ A. Witsel
Belgium
🔄
89'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
🔄
90+2'
F. Balogun ↔ H. Wright
USA
🔄
90+2'
A. Robinson ↔ M. Arfsten
USA
90'
R. Lukaku · Assist: H. Vanaken
Belgium

USA vs Belgium Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
USA Win 43.1%
Draw 14.5%
Belgium Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.55
Belgium2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Belgium Belgium
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.88
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 8 matches
Belgium Belgium 8 matches
USA Statistic Belgium
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
16 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.88 Shots On Goal 6.63
12.5 Total Shots 19.13
5.38 Corners 5.38
52% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, USA won 0 times, Belgium won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from USA's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
Missing players: USA 3, Belgium 1
H2H summary: USA wins 0, draws 0, Belgium wins 3

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
L W L W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
L W D W L
4 3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32