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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
USA
FT
1 - 4
Belgium
Lumen Field
Referee: Adham Mohammad, Jordan
USA
Match Timeline
Belgium
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: N. Raskin
Belgium
🔄
21'
A. Onana ↔ H. Vanaken
Belgium
⚽
31'
M. Tillman
USA
⚽
33'
C. De Ketelaere · Assist: L. Trossard
Belgium
🟨
35'
Weston McKennie
USA
🔄
46'
S. Dest ↔ G. Reyna
USA
⚽
57'
H. Vanaken · Assist: C. De Ketelaere
Belgium
🔄
59'
C. Pulisic ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
67'
C. De Ketelaere ↔ R. Lukaku
Belgium
🔄
67'
D. Lukebakio ↔ J. Doku
Belgium
🟨
69'
Malik Tillman
USA
🔄
72'
T. Adams ↔ R. Pepi
USA
🔄
89'
N. Raskin ↔ A. Witsel
Belgium
🔄
89'
L. Trossard ↔ A. Saelemaekers
Belgium
🔄
90+2'
F. Balogun ↔ H. Wright
USA
🔄
90+2'
A. Robinson ↔ M. Arfsten
USA
⚽
90'
R. Lukaku · Assist: H. Vanaken
Belgium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
USA Win 43.1%
Draw 14.5%
Belgium Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.55
Belgium2.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
16 GF / 15 GA
Belgium Belgium
WLDWL
22 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.75
1.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
4
3.88
Shots on Goal
6.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 8 matches
Belgium Belgium 8 matches
USA Statistic Belgium
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 3
4 Losses 0
16 Goals For 22
15 Goals Against 7
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
5 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 1
3.88 Shots On Goal 6.63
12.5 Total Shots 19.13
5.38 Corners 5.38
52% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, USA won 0 times, Belgium won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:11 from USA's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Belgium 4-2-3-1
Missing players: USA 3, Belgium 1
H2H summary: USA wins 0, draws 0, Belgium wins 3
Stats
USA USA
Belgium Belgium
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
3 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Goal 7
5 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 4
5 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
527 Total passes 414
459 Passes accurate 334
0.63 expected_goals 2.01
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

USA
Formation
Belgium
M. Freese
M. Freese
A. Freeman
A. Freeman
C. Richards
C. Richards
T. Ream
T. Ream
S. Dest
↓
S. Dest
W. McKennie
W. McKennie
T. Adams
↓
T. Adams
M. Tillman
⚽
M. Tillman
A. Robinson
↓
A. Robinson
C. Pulisic
↓
C. Pulisic
F. Balogun
↓
F. Balogun
T. Courtois
T. Courtois
T. Castagne
T. Castagne
N. Ngoy
N. Ngoy
B. Mechele
B. Mechele
M. De Cuyper
M. De Cuyper
A. Onana
↓
A. Onana
Y. Tielemans
Y. Tielemans
L. Trossard
🎯 ↓
L. Trossard
N. Raskin
🎯 ↓
N. Raskin
D. Lukebakio
↓
D. Lukebakio
C. De Ketelaere
⚽ 2 🎯 ↓
C. De Ketelaere
USA 3-5-2
Starting XI
24
M. Freese
G
16
A. Freeman
D
3
C. Richards
D
13
T. Ream
D
2
S. Dest
↓ 46'
D
8
W. McKennie
🟨 35'
M
4
T. Adams
↓ 72'
M
17
M. Tillman
⚽ 31' 🟨 69'
M
5
A. Robinson
↓ 90+2'
D
10
C. Pulisic
↓ 59'
F
20
F. Balogun
↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
25
C. Brady
G
1
M. Turner
G
6
A. Trusty
D
9
R. Pepi
↑ 72'
F
7
G. Reyna
↑ 46'
M
14
S. Berhalter
↑ 59'
M
19
H. Wright
↑ 90+2'
F
26
A. Zendejas
F
21
T. Weah
M
12
M. Robinson
D
11
B. Aaronson
M
22
M. McKenzie
D
23
J. Scally
D
18
M. Arfsten
↑ 90+2'
F
Belgium 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
T. Courtois
G
21
T. Castagne
D
25
N. Ngoy
D
4
B. Mechele
D
5
M. De Cuyper
D
24
A. Onana
↓ 21'
M
8
Y. Tielemans
M
10
L. Trossard
🎯 33' ↓ 89'
F
23
N. Raskin
🎯 9' ↓ 89'
M
14
D. Lukebakio
↓ 67'
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
⚽ 9' ⚽ 33' 🎯 57' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
12
S. Lammens
G
13
M. Penders
G
6
A. Witsel
↑ 89'
M
9
R. Lukaku
⚽ 90' ↑ 67'
F
7
K. De Bruyne
M
20
H. Vanaken
⚽ 57' 🎯 90' ↑ 21'
M
22
A. Saelemaekers
↑ 89'
M
11
J. Doku
↑ 67'
F
3
A. Theate
D
26
M. Fernandez-Pardo
F
19
D. Moreira
M
15
T. Meunier
D
16
K. De Winter
D
2
Z. Debast
D
18
J. Seys
D
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
10.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Spain
1
2
L
01.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Senegal
3
2
W
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
21.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Iran
0
0
D
15.06.26
Wor
Belgium
Egypt
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Tunisia
5
0
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
18.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
7
0
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
10.10.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
07.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
3
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
23.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
3
0
W
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
H2H: USA vs Belgium
07.07.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
01.07.14
H2H
Belgium
USA
2
1
L
Last matches: USA
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
19.06.26
Wor
USA
Australia
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
07.07.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Belgium
10.07.26
Wor
Belgium
Spain
1
2
L
27.06.26
Wor
Belgium
New Zealand
5
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Belgium
Croatia
2
0
W
01.04.26
Fri
Belgium
Mexico
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Belgium
USA
5
2
W
15.11.25
Wor
Belgium
Kazakhstan
1
1
D
13.10.25
Wor
Belgium
Wales
4
2
W
04.09.25
Wor
Belgium
Liechtenstein
6
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Belgium
FYR Macedonia
1
1
D
20.03.25
UEF
Belgium
Ukraine
1
3
L
17.11.24
UEF
Belgium
Israel
0
1
L
10.10.24
UEF
Belgium
Italy
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Belgium
France
0
2
L
H2H away: Belgium
07.07.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
1
4
W
28.03.26
H2H
USA
Belgium
2
5
W

Missing Players

USA 3 missing
-
C. Roldan
Missing Fixture Muscle Bruise
OUT
-
F. Balogun
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
M. McKenzie
Missing Fixture Bruised Foot
OUT
Belgium 1 missing
-
Z. Debast
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT