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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
USA
FT
2 - 0
Australia
Lumen Field
Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
USA
Match Timeline
Australia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
C. Burgess
USA
🟨
16'
Jordan Bos
Australia
🟨
32'
Alessandro Circati
Australia
⚽
43'
A. Freeman
USA
VAR
45'
Alexander Freeman
USA
🔄
46'
C. Burgess ↔ J. Geria
Australia
🔄
46'
N. Velupillay ↔ C. Metcalfe
Australia
🔄
46'
M. Toure ↔ N. Irankunda
Australia
🟨
56'
Antonee Robinson
USA
🔄
61'
M. Leckie ↔ C. Volpato
Australia
🔄
74'
R. Pepi ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
78'
P. Okon-Engstler ↔ J. Irvine
Australia
🔄
80'
A. Robinson ↔ A. Trusty
USA
🔄
80'
S. Dest ↔ J. Scally
USA
🟨
88'
Harry Souttar
Australia
🟨
89'
Folarin Balogun
USA
🟨
89'
Jacob Italiano
Australia
🟨
90+3'
Chris Richards
USA
🔄
90+6'
W. McKennie ↔ G. Reyna
USA
🔄
90+6'
F. Balogun ↔ H. Wright
USA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
USA Win 46.1%
Draw 35.3%
Australia Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.47
Australia1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Australia Australia
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
0
4
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 5 matches
Australia Australia 3 matches
USA Statistic Australia
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 2.33
12.8 Total Shots 7
4.6 Corners 3.33
50.6% Ball Possession 35.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, USA won 2 times, Australia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from USA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Australia 5-4-1
H2H summary: USA wins 2, draws 0, Australia wins 0
Stats
USA USA
Australia Australia
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
523 Total passes 310
444 Passes accurate 219
1.08 expected_goals 0.35
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

USA
Formation
Australia
M. Freese
M. Freese
A. Freeman
⚽
A. Freeman
C. Richards
C. Richards
T. Ream
T. Ream
S. Dest
↓
S. Dest
W. McKennie
↓
W. McKennie
T. Adams
T. Adams
M. Tillman
M. Tillman
A. Robinson
↓
A. Robinson
F. Balogun
↓
F. Balogun
R. Pepi
↓
R. Pepi
P. Beach
P. Beach
J. Italiano
J. Italiano
A. Circati
A. Circati
H. Souttar
H. Souttar
C. Burgess
⚽ ↓
C. Burgess
J. Bos
J. Bos
M. Leckie
↓
M. Leckie
A. O'Neill
A. O'Neill
P. Okon-Engstler
↓
P. Okon-Engstler
N. Velupillay
↓
N. Velupillay
M. Toure
↓
M. Toure
USA 3-5-2
Starting XI
24
M. Freese
G
16
A. Freeman
⚽ 43'
D
3
C. Richards
🟨 90+3'
D
13
T. Ream
D
2
S. Dest
↓ 80'
M
8
W. McKennie
↓ 90+6'
M
4
T. Adams
M
17
M. Tillman
M
5
A. Robinson
↓ 80' 🟨 56'
M
20
F. Balogun
↓ 90+6' 🟨 89'
F
9
R. Pepi
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
25
C. Brady
G
1
M. Turner
G
6
A. Trusty
↑ 80'
D
7
G. Reyna
↑ 90+6'
M
14
S. Berhalter
↑ 74'
M
19
H. Wright
↑ 90+6'
F
15
C. Roldan
M
26
A. Zendejas
F
21
T. Weah
F
12
M. Robinson
D
11
B. Aaronson
M
22
M. McKenzie
D
23
J. Scally
↑ 80'
D
18
M. Arfsten
M
Australia 5-4-1
Starting XI
18
P. Beach
G
4
J. Italiano
🟨 89'
D
3
A. Circati
🟨 32'
D
19
H. Souttar
🟨 88'
D
21
C. Burgess
⚽ 11' ↓ 46'
D
5
J. Bos
🟨 16'
D
7
M. Leckie
↓ 61'
M
13
A. O'Neill
M
24
P. Okon-Engstler
↓ 78'
M
23
N. Velupillay
↓ 46'
M
9
M. Toure
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Ryan
G
12
P. Izzo
G
6
J. Geria
↑ 46'
D
11
A. Mabil
M
10
A. Hrustic
M
15
K. Trewin
D
20
C. Volpato
↑ 61'
M
2
M. Degenek
D
16
A. Behich
D
22
J. Irvine
↑ 78'
M
8
C. Metcalfe
↑ 46'
M
14
C. Devlin
M
26
T. Yengi
F
17
N. Irankunda
↑ 46'
F
25
L. Herrington
D
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
26.06.26
Wor
USA
Türkiye
2
3
L
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Australia
03.07.26
Wor
Australia
Egypt
1
1
D
26.06.26
Wor
Australia
Paraguay
0
0
D
14.06.26
Wor
Australia
Türkiye
2
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
Australia
Switzerland
1
1
D
31.05.26
Fri
Australia
Mexico
0
1
L
H2H: USA vs Australia
19.06.26
H2H
USA
Australia
2
0
W
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
W
Last matches: USA
07.07.26
Wor
USA
Belgium
1
4
L
02.07.26
Wor
USA
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
0
W
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
19.06.26
H2H
USA
Australia
2
0
W
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
W
Last matches: Australia
26.06.26
Wor
Australia
Paraguay
0
0
D
06.06.26
Fri
Australia
Switzerland
1
1
D
31.05.26
Fri
Australia
Mexico
0
1
L
H2H away: Australia
19.06.26
H2H
USA
Australia
2
0
L
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
L

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
L W L W W
2
Australia Away
3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3
Paraguay
3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
L W D W L
4
Türkiye
3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32