WORLD WORLD CUP
19.06.2026 19:00
Lumen Field
Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
USA
Match Timeline
Australia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
C. Burgess
USA
🟨
16'
Jordan Bos
Australia
🟨
32'
Alessandro Circati
Australia
43'
A. Freeman
USA
VAR
45'
Alexander Freeman
USA
🔄
46'
C. Burgess ↔ J. Geria
Australia
🔄
46'
N. Velupillay ↔ C. Metcalfe
Australia
🔄
46'
M. Toure ↔ N. Irankunda
Australia
🟨
56'
Antonee Robinson
USA
🔄
61'
M. Leckie ↔ C. Volpato
Australia
🔄
74'
R. Pepi ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
78'
P. Okon-Engstler ↔ J. Irvine
Australia
🔄
80'
A. Robinson ↔ A. Trusty
USA
🔄
80'
S. Dest ↔ J. Scally
USA
🟨
88'
Harry Souttar
Australia
🟨
89'
Folarin Balogun
USA
🟨
89'
Jacob Italiano
Australia
🟨
90+3'
Chris Richards
USA
🔄
90+6'
W. McKennie ↔ G. Reyna
USA
🔄
90+6'
F. Balogun ↔ H. Wright
USA

USA vs Australia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
USA Win 46.1%
Draw 35.3%
Australia Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.47
Australia1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Australia Australia
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
0
4
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 5 matches
Australia Australia 3 matches
USA Statistic Australia
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 2.33
12.8 Total Shots 7
4.6 Corners 3.33
50.6% Ball Possession 35.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, USA won 2 times, Australia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from USA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Australia 5-4-1
H2H summary: USA wins 2, draws 0, Australia wins 0

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
3 2 0 1 8:4 4 6
L W L W W
2 3 1 1 1 2:2 0 4
L D L W
3 3 1 1 1 2:4 -2 4
L W D W L
4 3 1 0 2 3:5 -2 3
W L L
Round of 32