WORLD WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Lumen Field
Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
USA
Match Timeline
Australia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
C. Burgess
USA
🟨
16'
J. Bos
Australia
🟨
32'
A. Circati
Australia
43'
A. Freeman
USA
🔄
46'
C. Burgess ↔ J. Geria
Australia
🔄
46'
N. Velupillay ↔ C. Metcalfe
Australia
🔄
46'
M. Toure ↔ N. Irankunda
Australia
🟨
56'
A. Robinson
USA
🔄
61'
M. Leckie ↔ C. Volpato
Australia
🔄
74'
R. Pepi ↔ S. Berhalter
USA
🔄
78'
P. Okon-Engstler ↔ J. Irvine
Australia
🔄
80'
A. Robinson ↔ A. Trusty
USA
🔄
80'
S. Dest ↔ J. Scally
USA
🟨
88'
H. Souttar
Australia
🟨
89'
J. Italiano
Australia
🟨
89'
F. Balogun
USA
🔄
90+6'
W. McKennie ↔ G. Reyna
USA
🔄
90+6'
F. Balogun ↔ H. Wright
USA
🟨
90+3'
C. Richards
USA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 81.3%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.95
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.91
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
81.3%
1.17
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.95
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
1.91
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
70.7%
1.39
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
USA Win 46.1%
Draw 35.3%
Australia Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
USA1.47
Australia1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
USA USA
WWDLW
10 GF / 12 GA
Australia Australia
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
4
BTTS Yes
1
4
Over 2.5
0
4
Shots on Goal
2.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

USA USA 5 matches
Australia Australia 3 matches
USA Statistic Australia
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 3
12 Goals Against 2
2 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
4 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 2
4 Over 2.5 0
3 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
4 Shots On Goal 2.33
12.8 Total Shots 7
4.6 Corners 3.33
50.6% Ball Possession 35.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, USA won 1 times, Australia won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from USA's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (81.3%)
Predicted formations: USA 3-5-2 / Australia 5-4-1
H2H summary: USA wins 1, draws 0, Australia wins 0
Stats
USA USA
Australia Australia
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
7 Corner Kicks 4
12 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 3
2 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
524 Total passes 308
447 Passes accurate 221
1.30 expected_goals 0.44
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

USA
Formation
Australia
Matthew Freese
Matthew Freese
Alexander Freeman
Alexander Freeman
Chris Richards
Chris Richards
Tim Ream
Tim Ream
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi
Patrick Beach
Patrick Beach
Jacob Italiano
Jacob Italiano
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar
Cameron Burgess
Cameron Burgess
Jordan Bos
Jordan Bos
Mathew Leckie
Mathew Leckie
Aiden O'Neill
Aiden O'Neill
Paul Okon-Engstler
Paul Okon-Engstler
Nishan Velupillay
Nishan Velupillay
Mohamed Touré
Mohamed Touré
USA 3-5-2
Starting XI
24
Matthew Freese
G
16
Alexander Freeman
⚽ 43'
D
3
Chris Richards
🟨 90+3'
D
13
Tim Ream
D
2
Sergiño Dest
↓ 80'
M
8
Weston McKennie
↓ 90+6'
M
4
Tyler Adams
M
17
Malik Tillman
M
5
Antonee Robinson
↓ 80' 🟨 56'
M
20
Folarin Balogun
↓ 90+6' 🟨 89'
F
9
Ricardo Pepi
↓ 74'
F
Substitutes
14
Sebastian Berhalter
↑ 74'
M
6
Auston Trusty
↑ 80'
D
23
Joe Scally
↑ 80'
D
7
Giovanni Reyna
↑ 90+6'
M
19
Haji Wright
↑ 90+6'
F
1
Matt Turner
G
25
Chris Brady
G
12
Miles Robinson
D
22
Mark McKenzie
D
18
Maximilian Arfsten
M
15
Cristian Roldán
M
11
Brenden Aaronson
M
21
Tim Weah
F
26
Alex Zendejas
F
Australia 5-4-1
Starting XI
18
Patrick Beach
G
4
Jacob Italiano
🟨 89'
D
3
Alessandro Circati
🟨 32'
D
19
Harry Souttar
🟨 88'
D
21
Cameron Burgess
⚽ 11' ↓ 46'
D
5
Jordan Bos
🟨 16'
D
7
Mathew Leckie
↓ 61'
M
13
Aiden O'Neill
M
24
Paul Okon-Engstler
↓ 78'
M
23
Nishan Velupillay
↓ 46'
M
9
Mohamed Touré
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
6
Jason Geria
↑ 46'
D
8
Connor Metcalfe
↑ 46'
M
17
Nestory Irankunda
↑ 46'
F
20
Cristian Volpato
↑ 61'
M
22
Jackson Irvine
↑ 78'
M
1
Mathew Ryan
G
12
Paul Izzo
G
2
Miloš Degenek
D
16
Aziz Behich
D
25
Lucas Herrington
D
15
Kai Trewin
D
14
Cameron Devlin
M
10
Ajdin Hrustić
M
11
Awer Mabil
M
26
Tete Yengi
F
Last matches: USA
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
Last matches: Australia
14.06.26
Wor
Australia
Türkiye
2
0
W
06.06.26
Fri
Australia
Switzerland
1
1
D
31.05.26
Fri
Australia
Mexico
0
1
L
H2H: USA vs Australia
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
W
Last matches: USA
13.06.26
Wor
USA
Paraguay
4
1
W
06.06.26
Fri
USA
Germany
1
2
L
31.05.26
Fri
USA
Senegal
3
2
W
31.03.26
Fri
USA
Portugal
0
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
USA
Belgium
2
5
L
H2H at home: USA
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
W
Last matches: Australia
06.06.26
Fri
Australia
Switzerland
1
1
D
31.05.26
Fri
Australia
Mexico
0
1
L
H2H away: Australia
15.10.25
H2H
USA
Australia
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.65
Draw 4.50
Away 5.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.25
Draw 2.37
Away 5.91
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Under 1.5 3.74
Over 1.75 1.35
Under 1.75 3.32
Over 2.0 1.44
Under 2.0 2.91
Over 2.25 1.67
Under 2.25 2.30
Over 2.5 1.91
Under 2.5 2.00
Over 2.75 2.14
Under 2.75 1.76
Over 3.5 3.24
Under 3.5 1.36
Over 1.25 1.20
Under 1.25 4.30
Over 3.0 2.57
Under 3.0 1.54
Over 3.25 2.90
Under 3.25 1.43
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.60
Draw 4.33
Away 5.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.10
Draw 2.30
Away 6.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.91
Draw 2.50
Away 5.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Under 1.5 3.75
Over 2.5 1.91
Under 2.5 1.91
Over 3.5 3.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Over 0.5 1.05
Under 0.5 11.00
Over 4.5 6.00
Under 4.5 1.12
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Under 5.5 1.04
Over 6.5 26.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.62
Draw 4.51
Away 5.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.11
Draw 2.41
Away 5.48
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.96
Draw 2.68
Away 5.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Under 1.5 3.58
Over 1.75 1.32
Under 1.75 3.18
Over 2.0 1.40
Under 2.0 2.78
Over 2.25 1.68
Under 2.25 2.27
Over 2.5 1.90
Under 2.5 1.96
Over 2.75 2.15
Under 2.75 1.75
Over 3.5 3.16
Under 3.5 1.30
Over 0.5 1.00
Under 0.5 11.60
Over 0.75 1.01
Under 0.75 9.20
Over 1.0 1.00
Under 1.0 10.50
Over 1.25 1.12
Under 1.25 5.12
Over 3.0 2.51
Under 3.0 1.48
Over 4.5 6.10
Under 4.5 1.06
Over 3.25 2.84
Under 3.25 1.36
Over 3.75 3.90
Under 3.75 1.19
Over 4.0 5.40
Under 4.0 1.10
Over 4.25 5.73
Under 4.25 1.07
Over 4.75 13.50
Under 4.75 1.02
Over 5.0 11.00
Under 5.0 1.04
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 7.5 1.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Over 6.5 26.00
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.57
Draw 4.50
Away 5.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 2.14
Draw 2.32
Away 5.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.93
Draw 2.75
Away 4.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.27
Under 1.5 3.65
Over 1.75 1.35
Under 1.75 3.15
Over 2.0 1.43
Under 2.0 2.85
Over 2.25 1.65
Under 2.25 2.23
Over 2.5 1.86
Under 2.5 1.90
Over 2.75 2.12
Under 2.75 1.71
Over 3.5 3.35
Under 3.5 1.33
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 12.50
Over 1.25 1.15
Under 1.25 5.10
Over 3.0 2.60
Under 3.0 1.49
Over 4.5 6.50
Under 4.5 1.10
Over 3.25 3.00
Under 3.25 1.38
Over 3.75 4.10
Under 3.75 1.22
Over 4.0 5.80
Under 4.0 1.12
Over 4.25 6.25
Under 4.25 1.11
Over 5.5 14.00
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
USA Home
2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
2 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
L W
3 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
4 1 0 0 1 1:4 -3 0
L
Round of 32