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WORLD › WORLD CUP
--.--.---- --:--
Uruguay
FT
0 - 1
Spain
Estadio Akron
Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Uruguay
Match Timeline
Spain
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
42'
A. Baena · Assist: M. Llorente
Spain
🔄
45'
M. Ugarte ↔ N. de la Cruz
Uruguay
🟨
46'
Alex Baena
Spain
🔄
46'
F. Muslera ↔ S. Rochet
Uruguay
🟨
54'
Juan Sanabria
Uruguay
🔄
57'
F. Valverde ↔ F. Vinas
Uruguay
🟨
58'
Guillermo Varela
Uruguay
🔄
60'
Pedri ↔ F. Ruiz
Spain
🔄
60'
M. Merino ↔ D. Olmo
Spain
🔄
66'
A. Baena ↔ Y. Pino
Spain
🔄
70'
J. Sanabria ↔ B. Rodriguez
Uruguay
🔄
76'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ F. Torres
Spain
🔄
76'
Lamine Yamal ↔ N. Williams
Spain
🟨
90+3'
Nicolás de la Cruz
Uruguay
🟥
90+5'
Agustín Canobbio
Uruguay

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
55%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Uruguay Win 7.6%
Draw 10.8%
Spain Win 81.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uruguay0.73
Spain1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uruguay Uruguay
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Spain Spain
WLDWL
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
3
3.5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uruguay Uruguay 4 matches
Spain Spain 6 matches
Uruguay Statistic Spain
0 Wins 3
4 Draws 3
0 Losses 0
4 Goals For 11
4 Goals Against 2
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
3.5 Shots On Goal 5.5
16 Total Shots 16.83
7.75 Corners 6.33
59.3% Ball Possession 56.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Uruguay won 0 times, Spain won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Uruguay's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Uruguay 4-1-4-1 / Spain 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Uruguay 2, Spain 0
H2H summary: Uruguay wins 0, draws 0, Spain wins 2
Stats
Uruguay Uruguay
Spain Spain
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
1 Corner Kicks 6
14 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 2
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
2 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
301 Total passes 622
228 Passes accurate 553
0.20 expected_goals 0.86
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Uruguay
Formation
Spain
F. Muslera
↓
F. Muslera
G. Varela
G. Varela
S. Caceres
S. Caceres
M. Olivera
M. Olivera
J. Sanabria
↓
J. Sanabria
M. Ugarte
↓
M. Ugarte
A. Canobbio
A. Canobbio
R. Bentancur
R. Bentancur
F. Valverde
↓
F. Valverde
M. Araujo
M. Araujo
D. Nunez
D. Nunez
U. Simon
U. Simon
M. Llorente
🎯
M. Llorente
P. Cubarsi
P. Cubarsi
A. Laporte
A. Laporte
M. Cucurella
M. Cucurella
Pedri
↓
Pedri
Rodri
Rodri
Lamine Yamal
↓
Lamine Yamal
M. Merino
↓
M. Merino
A. Baena
⚽ ↓
A. Baena
M. Oyarzabal
↓
M. Oyarzabal
Uruguay 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
F. Muslera
↓ 46'
G
13
G. Varela
🟨 58'
D
3
S. Caceres
D
16
M. Olivera
D
25
J. Sanabria
↓ 70' 🟨 54'
D
5
M. Ugarte
↓ 45'
M
14
A. Canobbio
🟥 90+5'
M
6
R. Bentancur
M
8
F. Valverde
↓ 57'
M
20
M. Araujo
M
9
D. Nunez
F
Substitutes
1
S. Rochet
↑ 46'
G
12
S. Mele
G
2
J. Gimenez
D
10
G. de Arrascaeta
M
17
M. Vina
D
4
R. Araujo
D
18
B. Rodriguez
↑ 70'
F
21
F. Vinas
↑ 57'
F
15
E. Martinez
M
19
R. Aguirre
F
7
N. de la Cruz
↑ 45' 🟨 90+3'
M
24
S. Bueno
D
22
J. Piquerez
D
26
R. Zalazar
M
11
F. Pellistri
M
Spain 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
U. Simon
G
5
M. Llorente
🎯 42'
D
22
P. Cubarsi
D
14
A. Laporte
D
24
M. Cucurella
D
20
Pedri
↓ 60'
M
16
Rodri
M
19
Lamine Yamal
↓ 76'
M
6
M. Merino
↓ 60'
M
15
A. Baena
⚽ 42' ↓ 66' 🟨 46'
M
21
M. Oyarzabal
↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Raya
G
13
J. Garcia
G
8
F. Ruiz
↑ 60'
M
7
F. Torres
↑ 76'
F
12
P. Porro
D
18
M. Zubimendi
M
9
Gavi
M
3
A. Grimaldo
D
26
B. Iglesias
F
10
D. Olmo
↑ 60'
M
4
E. Garcia
D
11
Y. Pino
↑ 66'
M
17
N. Williams
↑ 76'
F
25
V. Munoz
F
2
M. Pubill
D
Last matches: Uruguay
21.06.26
Wor
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
2
2
D
15.06.26
Wor
Uruguay
Saudi Arabia
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Uruguay
Algeria
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Uruguay
England
1
1
D
Last matches: Spain
14.07.26
Wor
Spain
France
2
0
W
10.07.26
Wor
Spain
Belgium
2
1
W
06.07.26
Wor
Spain
Portugal
1
0
W
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
H2H: Uruguay vs Spain
27.06.26
H2H
Uruguay
Spain
0
1
L
16.06.13
H2H
Spain
Uruguay
2
1
L
Last matches: Uruguay
21.06.26
Wor
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
2
2
D
H2H at home: Uruguay
27.06.26
H2H
Uruguay
Spain
0
1
L
Last matches: Spain
14.07.26
Wor
Spain
France
2
0
W
06.07.26
Wor
Spain
Portugal
1
0
W
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
08.09.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
4
1
W
05.09.24
UEF
Spain
Serbia
0
0
D
H2H away: Spain
27.06.26
H2H
Uruguay
Spain
0
1
W

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Away
3 2 1 0 5:0 5 7
W W W W W
2
Cape Verde Islands
3 0 3 0 2:2 0 3
L D D D
3
Uruguay Home
3 0 2 1 3:4 -1 2
L D D
4
Saudi Arabia
3 0 2 1 1:5 -4 2
D L D
Round of 32

Missing Players

Uruguay 2 missing
-
R. Araújo
Missing Fixture Muscle Bruise
OUT
-
G. de Arrascaeta
Missing Fixture Muscle Bruise
OUT
Spain 0 missing
No missing players data