Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.55
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.55
BTTS No
56%
1.69
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.40
Correct Score 2-0
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Uruguay Montevideo Win 56.4%
Draw 20.4%
Tacuarembo Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uruguay Montevideo1.05
Tacuarembo0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo
WWDLW
23 GF / 28 GA
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WLDWL
16 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
12
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Montevideo 23 matches
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 23 matches
Uruguay Montevideo Statistic Tacuarembo
6 Wins 6
7 Draws 6
10 Losses 11
23 Goals For 16
28 Goals Against 26
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
12 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Uruguay Montevideo's more proactive style and Tacuarembo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tacuarembo. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Uruguay Montevideo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 9 points compared to Tacuarembo in 14 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tacuarembo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tacuarembo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Uruguay Montevideo Analysis

So far, Uruguay Montevideo have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.6%)

Standings

2nd Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 2 5 28:18 10 32
W L D W W
2 17 8 4 5 19:18 1 28
W W D W W
3 17 8 3 6 22:16 6 27
W L D W D
4 17 7 5 5 25:21 4 26
L D D W W
5 17 6 7 4 23:17 6 25
W W W D L
6 17 6 6 5 22:20 2 24
L L W D L
7 17 6 6 5 20:19 1 24
W D D L D
8 17 7 2 8 23:23 0 23
W W D L L
9 17 5 7 5 21:20 1 22
L D W L D
10 17 6 4 7 17:22 -5 22
W W D W L
11 17 6 3 8 11:17 -6 21
L L L W D
12 17 4 6 7 13:20 -7 18
L D L L D
13 17 3 7 7 17:23 -6 16
L D D L D
14 17 4 4 9 16:23 -7 16
L D L L W