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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
21.10.2026 10:30
Saitama Stadium

Urawa vs JEF United Chiba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Urawa Win 83.7%
Draw 7.6%
JEF United Chiba Win 8.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Urawa1.78
JEF United Chiba1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Urawa Urawa
WWDLW
17 GF / 21 GA
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WLDWL
8 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.7
Average Goals Scored
0.8
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
7
BTTS Yes
5
8
Over 2.5
5
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Urawa Urawa 10 matches
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 10 matches
Urawa Statistic JEF United Chiba
5 Wins 1
0 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
17 Goals For 8
21 Goals Against 19
1.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
7 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 5
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 4
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.8
15.7 Total Shots 10.9
5.1 Corners 3.6
53.8% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Urawa arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 12 points compared to JEF United Chiba in 19 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Urawa expected to line up in 4-3-3 and JEF United Chiba in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward JEF United Chiba having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors JEF United Chiba.

Urawa Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Urawa have collected 12 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 16:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Matheus Sávio (3 goals), H. Minamino (3 goals), T. Kaneko (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kaneko (5 assists), R. Watanabe (2 assists), H. Ueki (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

JEF United Chiba Analysis

JEF United Chiba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 5 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on T. Tsukui (1 goals), Matheus Índio (1 goals), K. Yamura (1 goals), with creative support from R. Ishio (1 assists), T. Taguchi (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Urawa won 2 times, JEF United Chiba won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Urawa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: Urawa 4-3-3 / JEF United Chiba 4-4-2
H2H summary: Urawa wins 2, draws 0, JEF United Chiba wins 0

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 2 1 22:6 16 20
W W W L W
3 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
4 9 6 2 1 17:8 9 20
W W W W D
5 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 9 4 3 2 13:9 4 15
D W D W D
8 9 3 4 2 17:14 3 13
L D W W L
9 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
10 9 4 1 4 8:9 -1 13
W W W L D
11
Urawa Home
9 4 0 5 16:21 -5 12
L W L W W
12 9 3 3 3 7:12 -5 12
D D L D W
13 9 2 3 4 12:13 -1 9
L L L D W
14 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D D W L D
15 9 3 0 6 9:15 -6 9
W L L L L
16 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L W L L D
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
19 9 1 2 6 8:19 -11 5
D L D W L
20 9 0 4 5 4:14 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League