JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
02.05.2026 07:00
Saitama Stadium
Referee: Y. Ohashi
Urawa
Match Timeline
JEF United Chiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
Hiroto Goya
JEF United Chiba
41'
K. Nemoto · Assist: Matheus Savio
Urawa
🟨
45+3'
Takuya Yasui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
M. Himeno ↔ N. Tsubaki
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
N. Sugiyama ↔ K. Tanaka
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
T. Yasui ↔ Eduardo
JEF United Chiba
🔄
57'
H. Abe ↔ H. Komori
Urawa
64'
H. Komori · Assist: K. Yasui
Urawa
🔄
67'
Matheus Savio ↔ T. Sekine
Urawa
🔄
67'
R. Hidano ↔ A. Onaiwu
Urawa
🔄
67'
T. Kaneko ↔ J. Hayakawa
Urawa
🔄
73'
H. Goya ↔ Y. Igari
JEF United Chiba
🔄
80'
H. Ueki ↔ S. Gustafson
Urawa
🔄
84'
M. Shinada ↔ K. Yonekura
JEF United Chiba

Urawa vs JEF United Chiba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Urawa Win 100%
Draw 0%
JEF United Chiba Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Urawa1.54
JEF United Chiba1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Urawa Urawa
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WLDWL
14 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.64
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Urawa Urawa 15 matches
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 14 matches
Urawa Statistic JEF United Chiba
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
22 Goals For 14
18 Goals Against 23
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.64
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.92
14.15 Total Shots 11
5.38 Corners 4.46
51.4% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Urawa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and JEF United Chiba in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward JEF United Chiba having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors JEF United Chiba. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Urawa Analysis

With 15 points from 13 games and a place of 7, Urawa still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats with a 18:19 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on R. Hidano (4 goals), Matheus Sávio (2 goals), R. Watanabe (2 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sávio (4 assists), T. Kaneko (1 assists), J. Hayakawa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

JEF United Chiba Analysis

With 9 points from 13 games and a place of 10, JEF United Chiba still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 11 defeats with a 13:24 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Hiroto Goya (3 goals), D. Ishikawa (2 goals), T. Tsukui (2 goals), with creative support from N. Sugiyama (2 assists), Hiroto Goya (1 assists), Z. Issaka (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Urawa won 2 times, JEF United Chiba won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from Urawa's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Urawa 4-2-3-1 / JEF United Chiba 4-4-2
H2H summary: Urawa wins 2, draws 0, JEF United Chiba wins 0

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa Home
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)