UPDF vs URA Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.9%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
UPDF Win 38.2%
Draw 19.1%
URA Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
UPDF0.98
URA1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
UPDF
WWDLW
22 GF / 33 GA
URA
WLDWL
20 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UPDF
24 matches
URA
24 matches
| UPDF | Statistic | URA |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 20 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 1 times, URA won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from UPDF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
H2H summary: UPDF wins 1, draws 5, URA wins 8
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
URA
Away
|
30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Home
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League