Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
80.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.9%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
UPDF Win 38.2%
Draw 19.1%
URA Win 42.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
UPDF0.98
URA1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
UPDF
WWDLW
22 GF / 33 GA
URA
WLDWL
20 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UPDF
24 matches
URA
24 matches
| UPDF | Statistic | URA |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 20 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 26 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 1 times, URA won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from UPDF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
H2H summary: UPDF wins 1, draws 5, URA wins 8
Last matches: UPDF
23.05.26
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
1
2
L
07.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Police
0
2
L
21.04.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
5
2
W
15.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
0
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
07.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
0
D
10.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
2
2
D
Last matches: URA
22.05.26
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
19.05.26
Pre
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
URA
Maroons
2
2
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
URA
BUL
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
URA
Lugazi
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
2
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
URA
Police
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
0
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
H2H: UPDF vs URA
24.04.26
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
29.10.25
H2H
URA
UPDF
3
2
L
07.03.25
H2H
URA
UPDF
2
1
L
24.10.24
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
06.02.24
H2H
URA
UPDF
1
0
L
17.09.23
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
12.05.23
H2H
URA
UPDF
1
1
D
06.12.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
1
D
29.04.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
L
29.10.21
H2H
URA
UPDF
3
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
URA
UPDF
2
1
L
02.03.21
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
L
04.04.18
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
0
W
13.09.17
H2H
URA
UPDF
2
1
L
Last matches: UPDF
19.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
1
2
L
15.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
09.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
W
11.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
0
1
L
21.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
16.12.25
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
2
0
W
25.11.25
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
0
1
L
06.11.25
Pre
UPDF
Police
1
2
L
15.10.25
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
1
2
L
H2H at home: UPDF
24.04.26
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
24.10.24
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
17.09.23
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
06.12.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
1
D
29.04.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
L
02.03.21
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
L
04.04.18
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
0
W
Last matches: URA
22.05.26
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
08.05.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
21.11.25
Pre
URA
KCCA
1
2
L
05.11.25
Pre
URA
Maroons
0
0
D
22.10.25
Pre
URA
Lugazi
0
0
D
26.09.25
Pre
URA
BUL
0
0
D
H2H away: URA
24.04.26
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
24.10.24
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
17.09.23
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
06.12.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
1
D
29.04.22
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
W
02.03.21
H2H
UPDF
URA
0
1
W
04.04.18
H2H
UPDF
URA
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
URA
Away
|
30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Home
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League