UPDF
Match Timeline
Mbarara City
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
UPDF Win 0%
Draw 0%
Mbarara City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
UPDF0.99
Mbarara City0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
UPDF
WWDLW
14 GF / 29 GA
Mbarara City
WLDWL
15 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
8
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UPDF
21 matches
Mbarara City
21 matches
| UPDF | Statistic | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 14 | Goals For | 15 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.71 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 8 times, Mbarara City won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:6 from UPDF's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.
H2H summary: UPDF wins 8, draws 2, Mbarara City wins 1
Last matches: UPDF
23.05.26
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
1
2
L
19.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
1
2
L
07.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
2
L
29.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Police
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pre
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
5
2
W
15.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
0
0
D
11.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
1
D
03.03.26
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
0
4
L
21.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
07.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
0
D
10.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
2
2
D
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
19.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
3
L
06.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
2
1
W
24.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
NEC
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
2
2
D
16.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
1
2
L
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
12.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
17.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
1
0
W
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
H2H: UPDF vs Mbarara City
09.04.26
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
W
03.10.25
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
0
1
W
17.02.25
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
0
1
W
06.11.24
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
1
W
26.04.24
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
0
0
D
11.12.23
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
1
D
08.05.22
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
1
2
W
06.11.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
W
22.06.21
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
0
0
D
24.02.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
0
W
03.03.18
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
W
18.11.17
H2H
Mbarara City
UPDF
2
1
L
Last matches: UPDF
19.05.26
Pre
UPDF
Calvary
0
0
D
13.05.26
Pre
UPDF
KCCA
1
2
L
24.04.26
Pre
UPDF
URA
0
0
D
15.04.26
Pre
UPDF
Express
0
1
L
11.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Vipers
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
UPDF
Kitara
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pre
UPDF
BUL
0
1
L
21.01.26
Pre
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
16.12.25
Pre
UPDF
NEC
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
UPDF
Lugazi
2
0
W
25.11.25
Pre
UPDF
SC Villa
0
1
L
06.11.25
Pre
UPDF
Police
1
2
L
15.10.25
Pre
UPDF
Maroons
1
2
L
H2H at home: UPDF
09.04.26
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
W
06.11.24
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
1
W
11.12.23
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
W
24.02.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
0
W
03.03.18
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
W
Last matches: Mbarara City
23.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
KCCA
1
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Lugazi
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Mbarara City
NEC
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
BUL
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
Mbarara City
URA
0
2
L
17.02.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
31.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Maroons
1
1
D
28.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
SC Villa
1
6
L
06.01.26
Pre
Mbarara City
Vipers
0
2
L
13.12.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Calvary
1
1
D
21.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Buhimba Saints
2
1
W
05.11.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Express
1
4
L
24.10.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Kitara
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pre
Mbarara City
Police
1
1
D
H2H away: Mbarara City
09.04.26
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
3
1
L
06.11.24
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
1
L
11.12.23
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
1
D
06.11.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
L
24.02.21
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
2
0
L
03.03.18
H2H
UPDF
Mbarara City
1
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Mbarara City
Away
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Home
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League