Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
74%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
48%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
UPDF
KCCA
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UPDF
27 matches
KCCA
27 matches
| UPDF | Statistic | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 17 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 16 | Losses | 6 |
| 22 | Goals For | 40 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.81 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by KCCA's more proactive style and UPDF's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KCCA. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KCCA having the stronger overall control. UPDF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. KCCA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 55 points while UPDF sit 14 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
UPDF sit 14 with 21 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 22:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Ssekamatte (7 goals), E. Ochen (5 goals), R. Faridi (3 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
KCCA come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 55 points after 27 matches. With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:20, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Ahimbisibwe Ivan (13 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), H. Achayi (5 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 0 times, KCCA won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:28 from UPDF's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
UPDF
SC Villa
UPDF
Calvary
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Police
UPDF
URA
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Express
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Maroons
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
Mbarara City
KCCA
URA
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
Kitara
KCCA
SC Villa
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
UPDF
Calvary
UPDF
URA
UPDF
Express
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
SC Villa
UPDF
Police
UPDF
Maroons
KCCA
URA
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
SC Villa
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Police
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
Mbarara City
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Kitara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
KCCA
Away
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Home
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|