Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
66.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
53.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
UPDF
Calvary
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UPDF
28 matches
Calvary
27 matches
| UPDF | Statistic | Calvary |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 3 |
| 6 | Draws | 8 |
| 17 | Losses | 16 |
| 23 | Goals For | 12 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.44 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 18 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Calvary. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Calvary having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. UPDF have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
UPDF sit 14 with 21 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 17 defeats with a 23:39 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on S. Ssekamatte (7 goals), E. Ochen (6 goals), R. Faridi (3 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 17 points from 28 games and a place of 15, Calvary still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 17 losses, together with goals at 12:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Olaboro (7 goals), S. Oriokot (2 goals), E. Ojok (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 1 times, Calvary won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from UPDF's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.
UPDF
SC Villa
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Police
UPDF
URA
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Express
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Maroons
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
NEC
Calvary
URA
Calvary
Police
Calvary
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
KCCA
Calvary
Kitara
Calvary
Lugazi
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
Vipers
Calvary
Maroons
Calvary
BUL
Calvary
Express
Calvary
Mbarara City
Calvary
Kitara
Calvary
URA
Calvary
Police
Calvary
BUL
Calvary
SC Villa
Calvary
Mbarara City
Calvary
Vipers
UPDF
KCCA
UPDF
URA
UPDF
Express
UPDF
Mbarara City
UPDF
Vipers
UPDF
Kitara
UPDF
Buhimba Saints
UPDF
BUL
UPDF
Entebbe UPPC
UPDF
NEC
UPDF
Lugazi
UPDF
SC Villa
UPDF
Police
UPDF
Maroons
Calvary
URA
Calvary
Entebbe UPPC
Calvary
Kitara
Calvary
Vipers
Calvary
BUL
Calvary
Mbarara City
Calvary
Police
Calvary
SC Villa
Calvary
Express
Calvary
NEC
Calvary
KCCA
Calvary
Maroons
Calvary
Buhimba Saints
Calvary
Lugazi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
UPDF
Home
|
30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 |
Calvary
Away
|
30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|