ROMANIA LIGA I
07.09.2026 17:30
Stadionul Ion Oblemenco
Referee: George Catalin Roman, Romania
Universitatea Craiova
Match Timeline
Universitatea Cluj
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Alexandru Chipciu
Universitatea Cluj
🟨
45+1'
Issouf Macalou
Universitatea Cluj
47'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: T. Baluta
Universitatea Craiova
52'
A. Al Hamlawi · Assist: C. Mora
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
54'
G. Simion ↔ P. Pinho
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
54'
M. Drammeh ↔ M. Stefanescu
Universitatea Cluj
55'
V. Screciu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
69'
I. Macalou ↔ D. Nistor
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
75'
A. Al Hamlawi ↔ S. Elisor
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
76'
A. Cicaldau ↔ J. Lameira
Universitatea Craiova
77'
S. Elisor · Assist: T. Baluta
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
82'
D. Matei ↔ L. Basceanu
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
83'
M. Etim ↔ Heriberto Tavares
Universitatea Craiova
🔄
83'
O. Mendy ↔ A. Gheorghita
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
83'
J. Lukic ↔ A. Aliev
Universitatea Cluj
🔄
86'
O. Romanchuk ↔ A. Cretu
Universitatea Craiova

Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.2%
1.57
BTTS Yes
88%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.69
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Universitatea Craiova Win 80.2%
Draw 6.1%
Universitatea Cluj Win 13.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitatea Craiova1.62
Universitatea Cluj1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
WWDLW
33 GF / 24 GA
Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj
WLDWL
14 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
12
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
4.13
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 19 matches
Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 16 matches
Universitatea Craiova Statistic Universitatea Cluj
8 Wins 3
6 Draws 6
5 Losses 7
33 Goals For 14
24 Goals Against 23
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 7
4.13 Shots On Goal 3.3
9.07 Total Shots 11
3.47 Corners 3.8
41.5% Ball Possession 33.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Universitatea Craiova's more proactive style and Universitatea Cluj's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universitatea Cluj. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitatea Craiova expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Universitatea Cluj in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitatea Cluj having the stronger overall control. Universitatea Cluj arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Universitatea Craiova Analysis

Universitatea Craiova arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 10 points after 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 13:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Monday Etim (2 goals), Steven Nsimba (2 goals), Oleksandr Romanchuk (1 goals), with creative support from Monday Etim (1 assists), Tudor Băluță (1 assists), Nicușor Bancu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Universitatea Cluj Analysis

Universitatea Cluj approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 9 points from 6 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 9:9, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alibek Aliev (3 goals), Jovo Lukić (2 goals), Oucasse Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from Alibek Aliev (1 assists), Dan Nistor (1 assists), Adams Friday (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitatea Craiova won 5 times, Universitatea Cluj won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Universitatea Craiova's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3 / Universitatea Cluj 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Universitatea Craiova wins 5, draws 8, Universitatea Cluj wins 2

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 9 5 1 3 11:12 -1 16
D W W L W
5 9 5 0 4 14:13 1 15
W W L L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
8 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
9 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
10 10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
11 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
13 9 2 4 3 8:7 1 10
L L D D W
14 9 2 4 3 9:12 -3 10
L L D W D
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 9 0 1 8 6:21 -15 1
L L L L D
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