ROMANIA LIGA I
14.09.2026 15:00
Cluj Arena

Universitatea Cluj vs Oţelul Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitatea Cluj Win 50.4%
Draw 8.3%
Oţelul Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitatea Cluj0.89
Oţelul1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj
WWDLW
14 GF / 23 GA
Oţelul Oţelul
WLDWL
12 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
4
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitatea Cluj Universitatea Cluj 16 matches
Oţelul Oţelul 10 matches
Universitatea Cluj Statistic Oţelul
3 Wins 3
6 Draws 6
7 Losses 1
14 Goals For 12
23 Goals Against 9
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
9 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 6
10 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 3
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.29
11 Total Shots 11.14
3.8 Corners 4.57
33.9% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Oţelul's more proactive style and Universitatea Cluj's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oţelul. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitatea Cluj expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Oţelul in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Oţelul having the stronger overall control. Universitatea Cluj have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Universitatea Cluj Analysis

Universitatea Cluj sit 12 with 9 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:9 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alibek Aliev (3 goals), Jovo Lukić (2 goals), Oucasse Mendy (1 goals), with creative support from Alibek Aliev (1 assists), Dan Nistor (1 assists), Adams Friday (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul are currently 8 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Patrick Fernandes (3 goals), Pedro Nuno (1 goals), Andrézinho (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Nuno (4 assists), Andrézinho (1 assists), Andrei Ciobanu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Universitatea Cluj won 6 times, Oţelul won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:6 from Universitatea Cluj's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: Universitatea Cluj 4-2-3-1 / Oţelul 4-3-3
H2H summary: Universitatea Cluj wins 6, draws 1, Oţelul wins 3

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 16:6 10 17
W D W W W
2 7 3 3 1 8:4 4 12
D W L D W
3 7 4 0 3 7:10 -3 12
W L W W L
4 7 3 2 2 14:9 5 11
D W D L W
5 8 2 5 1 10:8 2 11
D D D D W
6 8 3 2 3 11:10 1 11
L L L W D
7 8 2 4 2 12:8 4 10
W D W L D
8 7 2 4 1 8:4 4 10
D D W D D
9 7 2 4 1 9:8 1 10
D W D L D
10 7 3 1 3 11:10 1 10
D W W L L
11 7 3 1 3 4:5 -1 10
L L D W W
12 8 2 4 2 4:8 -4 10
L W D D D
13 6 3 0 3 9:9 0 9
L L W W L
14 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
W W D L D
15 7 1 2 4 7:18 -11 5
D L L L W
16 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)