Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
91.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
54.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.9%
|
- |
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario
15 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
10 matches
| Universitario | Statistic | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 19 | Goals For | 10 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.17 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 13.08 | Total Shots | 13.1 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universitario's more proactive style and Deportivo Garcilaso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Garcilaso. Universitario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 18 points compared to Deportivo Garcilaso in 15 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Universitario arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 18 points after 10 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Valera (5 goals), J. Concha (2 goals), L. Alzugaray (2 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (3 assists), J. Carabali (3 assists), A. Valera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Garcilaso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 9:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on B. Da Silva (3 goals), A. Salazar (2 goals), F. Arancibia (2 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (2 assists), Agustín González (1 assists), C. I. Ramos Rodriguez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 3 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:5 from Universitario's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.
Universitario
7
1
12
5
5
3
Lineups
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Sport Boys
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Juan Pablo II College
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Universitario
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
Deportes Tolima
Universitario
Atletico Grau
Universitario
Club Nacional
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Coquimbo Unido
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Universitario
UTC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
Cienciano
Universitario
ADT
Universitario
Universidad de Chile
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Universitario
Home
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|