Universitario vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.1%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
2.20 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.86 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.2%
|
1.60 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.83 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universitario
34 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
26 matches
| Universitario | Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 10 |
| 52 | Goals For | 33 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.58 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 13.79 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 3.63 |
| 51.7% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universitario's more proactive style and Comerciantes Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Comerciantes Unidos arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Universitario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 45 points compared to Comerciantes Unidos in 11 on 29, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Comerciantes Unidos in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Comerciantes Unidos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Universitario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 45 points after 24 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a 39:24 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Alex Valera (7 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), Gianluca Lapadula (3 goals), with creative support from Jairo Concha (3 assists), Alex Valera (2 assists), Edison Flores (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Comerciantes Unidos sit 11 with 29 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 32:33 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Matías Sen (5 goals), Rodrigo Vilca (3 goals), Josuee Herrera (2 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Vilca (3 assists), Josuee Herrera (3 assists), Mathías Carpio (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario won 10 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:10 from Universitario's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 |
Universitario
Home
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Away
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|