BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: I. N. Mendez Chavez
Universitario de Vinto
Match Timeline
Real Potosí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
L. Ali · Assist: G. Anasgo
Real Potosí
🟨
19'
G. Anasgo
Real Potosí
🟨
28'
D. A. Camacho Almanza
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
42'
G. Anasgo
Real Potosí
🟥
42'
G. Anasgo
Real Potosí
🔄
42'
M. Gomez ↔ B. Condori
Real Potosí
🔄
46'
D. A. Camacho Almanza ↔ Esdras Mendoza
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
46'
P. Alcocer ↔ D. Saavedra
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
46'
J. Lazarte ↔ J. Saucedo
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
46'
J. Rojas ↔ J. Vargas
Real Potosí
🟨
48'
L. Ali
Real Potosí
🟨
53'
G. Cuellar
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
53'
L. Ali ↔ Igor Soares
Real Potosí
61'
Igor Soares
Real Potosí
🔄
79'
H. Dorrego ↔ J. S. Gomez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
79'
H. Rodriguez ↔ M. Gomez
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
83'
A. Jara
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
85'
I. Cardenas ↔ J. Thomas
Real Potosí
🔄
85'
↔ E. Velasquez
Real Potosí

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.6%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitario de Vinto Win 42.6%
Draw 16.7%
Real Potosí Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario de Vinto1.35
Real Potosí1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WWDLW
27 GF / 32 GA
Real Potosí Real Potosí
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
13
BTTS Yes
6
11
Over 2.5
6
4.75
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 16 matches
Real Potosí Real Potosí 12 matches
Universitario de Vinto Statistic Real Potosí
4 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 3
27 Goals For 17
32 Goals Against 10
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
13 BTTS Yes 6
15 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
4.75 Shots On Goal 4.08
12.25 Total Shots 14.08
4 Corners 4
39.7% Ball Possession 35.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Real Potosí's more proactive style and Universitario de Vinto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario de Vinto expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Potosí in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Potosí having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Potosí. Universitario de Vinto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

Universitario de Vinto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 10 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:22 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Potosí Analysis

Real Potosí are currently 6 in the standings with 16 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:10 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Vinto won 0 times, Real Potosí won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Universitario de Vinto's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Universitario de Vinto 4-4-2 / Real Potosí 3-4-3
H2H summary: Universitario de Vinto wins 0, draws 0, Real Potosí wins 1

Lineups

Universitario de Vinto
Formation
Real Potosí
B. Poveda
B. Poveda
G. Cuellar
G. Cuellar
P. Alcocer
P. Alcocer
A. Jara
A. Jara
J. Lazarte
J. Lazarte
J. Calicho
J. Calicho
D. Torrico
D. Torrico
H. Rodriguez
H. Rodriguez
H. Dorrego
H. Dorrego
D. A. Camacho Almanza
D. A. Camacho Almanza
O. Blanco
O. Blanco
C. Martinez
C. Martinez
F. Supayabe
F. Supayabe
J. Rioja
J. Rioja
K. Villegas
K. Villegas
C. Vedia
C. Vedia
G. Anasgo
🎯
G. Anasgo
W. Fernandez
W. Fernandez
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
I. Cardenas
I. Cardenas
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
L. Ali
L. Ali
Universitario de Vinto 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Poveda
21
G. Cuellar
🟨 53'
5
P. Alcocer
↓ 46'
34
A. Jara
🟨 83'
70
J. Lazarte
↓ 46'
22
J. Calicho
17
D. Torrico
24
H. Rodriguez
↓ 79'
7
H. Dorrego
↓ 79'
8
D. A. Camacho Almanza
↓ 46' 🟨 28'
79
O. Blanco
Substitutes
12
J. Careaga
2
G. Visalla
76
Esdras Mendoza
↑ 46'
11
J. S. Gomez
↑ 79'
27
B. Calderon
19
J. Veizaga
28
Jose Pinto
66
A. Cuestas
50
D. Vargas
90
D. Saavedra
↑ 46'
6
M. Gomez
↑ 79'
29
J. Saucedo
↑ 46'
Real Potosí 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Martinez
22
F. Supayabe
2
J. Rioja
4
K. Villegas
35
C. Vedia
3
G. Anasgo
🎯 8' 🟨 19' 🟨 42' 🟥 42'
21
W. Fernandez
77
J. Rojas
↓ 46'
8
I. Cardenas
↓ 85'
11
M. Gomez
↓ 42'
23
L. Ali
⚽ 8' ↓ 53' 🟨 48'
Substitutes
25
D. Sandy
41
Igor Soares
⚽ 61' ↑ 53'
6
J. Thomas
↑ 85'
12
B. Condori
↑ 42'
13
J. Vargas
↑ 46'
10
V. Castellon
18
J. Rivas
14
E. Velasquez
↑ 85'
30
J. Alipaz
17
D. Cuellar
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
25.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
21.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
3
4
L
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
0
5
L
31.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
0
4
L
08.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
4
L
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
3
4
L
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
20.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
2
L
Last matches: Real Potosí
22.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
16.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Always Ready
1
1
D
09.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Bolívar
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
15.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5
0
W
12.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
1
1
D
09.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
ABB
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
The Strongest
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Oruro
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
3
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
19.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
0
2
L
16.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
1
2
L
11.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
0
1
L
05.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
1
3
L
02.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
0
5
L
H2H: Universitario de Vinto vs Real Potosí
06.08.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
25.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
31.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
2
3
L
04.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
28.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
2
2
D
12.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4
0
W
06.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
21.06.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Universitario de Vinto
06.08.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
Last matches: Real Potosí
22.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
0
D
16.08.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Always Ready
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Bolívar
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Real Potosí
The Strongest
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
2
L
14.04.26
Pri
Real Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
1
D
19.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Club Universitario
0
2
L
11.12.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Blooming
0
1
L
28.11.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Royal Pari
0
5
L
02.11.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Atlético Palmaflor
1
0
W
23.10.21
Pri
Real Potosí
The Strongest
0
1
L
26.09.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Nacional Potosí
2
4
L
17.09.21
Pri
Real Potosí
San José
0
0
D
23.08.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Aurora
0
5
L
09.08.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Guabirá
0
3
L
04.08.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
24.07.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Always Ready
1
2
L
16.07.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Jorge Wilstermann
1
3
L
12.05.21
Pri
Real Potosí
Santa Cruz
1
4
L
H2H away: Real Potosí
06.08.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
W