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10.10.2026 19:00
Estadio Hipolito Lazarte
Referee: J. Gutierrez
Universitario de Vinto
Match Timeline
Real Oruro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
A. F. Bravo Adan · Assist: F. Gatti
Real Oruro
⚽
4'
A. F. Bravo Adan · Assist: D. Pinto
Real Oruro
🟨
17'
Joel Calicho
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
17'
Reymar José Balceras Cuellar
Real Oruro
🟨
22'
Jesús Enrique Careaga
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
33'
B. Calderon ↔ D. Torrico
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
39'
Edwin Rivera
Real Oruro
🔄
42'
R. J. Balceras Cuellar ↔ S. Garcia
Real Oruro
🟨
50'
Didi Torrico
Universitario de Vinto
VAR
50'
Francisco Gatti
Real Oruro
⚽
52'
Francisco Gatti
Real Oruro
🔄
56'
H. Rodriguez ↔ O. Blanco
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
56'
G. Cuellar ↔ R. Llano
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
62'
E. Rivera ↔ D. Castellon
Real Oruro
🔄
62'
J. Ari Cruz ↔ J. Montenegro
Real Oruro
🟨
65'
Juan Montenegro
Real Oruro
🟨
68'
Felipe Pasadore
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
69'
Marco Gómez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
70'
H. Tifner ↔ J. P. Gomez
Real Oruro
🔄
70'
A. F. Bravo Adan ↔ Y. Vallejos
Real Oruro
⚽
75'
Y. Vallejos
Real Oruro
🔄
76'
F. Pasadore ↔ J. Veizaga
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
76'
H. Dorrego ↔ D. Saavedra
Universitario de Vinto
⚽
79'
O. Blanco · Assist: J. Veizaga
Universitario de Vinto

Universitario de Vinto vs Real Oruro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Universitario de Vinto Win 55.8%
Draw 12.7%
Real Oruro Win 31.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario de Vinto1.88
Real Oruro1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
D W L W L
9 GF / 8 GA
Real Oruro Real Oruro
L L W D L
5 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.68
2
Average Goals Conceded
2.44
16
BTTS Yes
20
14
Over 2.5
20
4.6
Shots on Goal
3.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 24 matches
Real Oruro Real Oruro 25 matches
Universitario de Vinto Statistic Real Oruro
6 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
14 Losses 13
36 Goals For 42
48 Goals Against 61
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44
16 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 25
14 Over 2.5 20
9 Over 3.5 15
2 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 4
4.6 Shots On Goal 3.2
12.55 Total Shots 11.05
4.4 Corners 3.7
40.4% Ball Possession 35.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universitario de Vinto expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Real Oruro in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Oruro having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Oruro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Real Oruro arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

Universitario de Vinto sit 14 with 18 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 26:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Calicho (2 goals), J. Torrico (1 goals), A. Jara (1 goals), with creative support from J. Torrico (2 assists), G. Cuellar (1 assists), H. Dorrego (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Oruro Analysis

Real Oruro sit 11 with 21 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 32:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Adriel Fernandez (2 goals), A. Quiñonez (2 goals), Y. Vallejos (2 goals), with creative support from Adriel Fernandez (2 assists), J. Montenegro (2 assists), A. Quiñonez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Vinto won 0 times, Real Oruro won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:18 from Universitario de Vinto's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Universitario de Vinto 4-1-4-1 / Real Oruro 4-3-3
H2H summary: Universitario de Vinto wins 0, draws 2, Real Oruro wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 58:23 35 54
W W W W W
2 23 15 6 2 55:16 39 51
W L W W W
3 23 13 6 4 42:26 16 45
L W L W W
4 23 10 8 5 30:16 14 38
L W W W W
5 23 11 4 8 40:29 11 37
W D W W L
6 23 8 10 5 34:30 4 34
W L D L W
7 23 9 4 10 35:31 4 31
W L D L W
8 23 8 6 9 34:47 -13 30
L D L W L
9 23 8 5 10 31:39 -8 29
W D L L L
10 23 6 10 7 31:25 6 28
L D L D W
11 23 8 3 12 37:56 -19 27
L W W L L
12 23 7 3 13 24:43 -19 24
W L D W L
13 23 6 3 14 30:45 -15 21
L W L D W
14 23 4 8 11 27:40 -13 20
W L W L L
15 23 6 2 15 33:51 -18 20
L L L L L
16 23 5 5 13 16:40 -24 20
L W D L L