BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: C. Condori
Universitario de Vinto
Match Timeline
Guabirá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
W. Flores
Universitario de Vinto
41'
D. Saavedra
Universitario de Vinto
43'
L. Ursino · Assist: Rafinha
Guabirá
🟨
45+1'
J. Calicho
Universitario de Vinto
🟨
54'
Thiago Ribeiro
Guabirá
🔄
65'
Rafinha ↔ P. Lujan
Guabirá
🔄
66'
P. Alcocer ↔ F. Vasquez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
66'
Pablo Melgar ↔ Y. Baigorria
Guabirá
🔄
76'
V. Abrego ↔ S. Garzon
Guabirá
🔄
77'
Thiago Ribeiro ↔ A. Moreno
Guabirá
🔄
80'
D. A. Camacho Almanza ↔ H. Dorrego
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
80'
D. Saavedra ↔ J. S. Gomez
Universitario de Vinto
🔄
80'
G. Peredo ↔ J. Flores
Guabirá

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.2%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitario de Vinto Win 59.2%
Draw 6.8%
Guabirá Win 34.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario de Vinto1.99
Guabirá1.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WWDLW
26 GF / 31 GA
Guabirá Guabirá
WLDWL
22 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.69
2.07
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
13
5.18
Shots on Goal
1.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 15 matches
Guabirá Guabirá 13 matches
Universitario de Vinto Statistic Guabirá
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
9 Losses 6
26 Goals For 22
31 Goals Against 31
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
2.07 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
5.18 Shots On Goal 1.73
13.36 Total Shots 5.64
4.36 Corners 1.73
43.3% Ball Possession 17.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guabirá having the stronger overall control. Universitario de Vinto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guabirá.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

With 10 points from 10 games and a place of 13, Universitario de Vinto still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 15:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guabirá Analysis

Guabirá are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Vinto won 5 times, Guabirá won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Universitario de Vinto's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Universitario de Vinto 4-2-3-1 / Guabirá 4-3-3
H2H summary: Universitario de Vinto wins 5, draws 2, Guabirá wins 8

Lineups

Universitario de Vinto
Formation
Guabirá
B. Poveda
B. Poveda
Esdras Mendoza
Esdras Mendoza
P. Alcocer
P. Alcocer
A. Jara
A. Jara
J. Lazarte
J. Lazarte
G. Cuellar
G. Cuellar
D. Torrico
D. Torrico
H. Rodriguez
H. Rodriguez
J. Calicho
J. Calicho
D. A. Camacho Almanza
D. A. Camacho Almanza
D. Saavedra
D. Saavedra
M. Ferrel
M. Ferrel
S. Gil
S. Gil
C. Anez
C. Anez
M. Portillo
M. Portillo
N. Masskooni
N. Masskooni
L. Ursino
L. Ursino
Thiago Ribeiro
Thiago Ribeiro
G. Peredo
G. Peredo
Rafinha
🎯
Rafinha
Pablo Melgar
Pablo Melgar
V. Abrego
V. Abrego
Universitario de Vinto 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
B. Poveda
76
Esdras Mendoza
5
P. Alcocer
↓ 66'
34
A. Jara
70
J. Lazarte
21
G. Cuellar
17
D. Torrico
24
H. Rodriguez
22
J. Calicho
🟨 45+1'
8
D. A. Camacho Almanza
↓ 80'
90
D. Saavedra
⚽ 41' ↓ 80'
Substitutes
12
J. Careaga
7
H. Dorrego
↑ 80'
11
J. S. Gomez
↑ 80'
27
B. Calderon
19
J. Veizaga
28
Jose Pinto
66
A. Cuestas
50
D. Vargas
80
F. Vasquez
↑ 66'
30
M. Cuadiay Fernandez
6
M. Gomez
29
J. Saucedo
Guabirá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Ferrel
97
S. Gil
6
C. Anez
21
M. Portillo
29
N. Masskooni
88
L. Ursino
⚽ 43'
77
Thiago Ribeiro
↓ 77' 🟨 54'
7
G. Peredo
↓ 80'
15
Rafinha
🎯 43' ↓ 65'
16
Pablo Melgar
↓ 66'
91
V. Abrego
↓ 76'
Substitutes
13
J. Arauz
19
J. Flores
↑ 80'
8
A. Moreno
↑ 77'
22
M. Tellez
27
R. Corrales
11
S. Garzon
↑ 76'
2
J. Barro
99
Pedro
14
J. Parada
40
P. Lujan
↑ 65'
28
Y. Baigorria
↑ 66'
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
25.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
21.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
3
4
L
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
0
5
L
06.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
27.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
0
4
L
08.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
4
L
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
3
4
L
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
20.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
2
L
Last matches: Guabirá
23.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
1
D
15.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
The Strongest
3
1
W
07.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
0
W
05.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
3
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
4
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Nacional Potosí
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
1
2
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
20.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
07.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
6
3
W
H2H: Universitario de Vinto vs Guabirá
18.08.26
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
L
31.07.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
25.02.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
20.02.26
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
L
03.08.25
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
3
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2
2
D
30.04.25
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
0
L
28.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
4
2
W
29.11.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
04.08.24
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
4
2
L
30.03.24
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
3
1
L
21.02.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
01.12.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
04.06.23
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
L
12.10.22
H2H
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
L
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
25.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
0
W
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
06.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
2
3
L
04.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
28.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
2
2
D
12.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4
0
W
06.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
21.06.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Universitario de Vinto
31.07.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
25.02.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
26.07.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2
2
D
28.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
4
2
W
29.11.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
21.02.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
01.12.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
W
Last matches: Guabirá
07.08.26
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
29.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
4
L
22.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Real Potosí
0
3
L
03.04.26
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
0
5
L
25.02.26
Fri
Guabirá
Universitario de Vinto
2
5
L
12.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Always Ready
0
6
L
02.12.25
Pri
Guabirá
Independiente Petrolero
1
3
L
03.11.25
Pri
Guabirá
Oriente Petrolero
0
4
L
17.10.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Tomayapo
2
3
L
26.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Real Oruro
6
3
W
13.09.25
Pri
Guabirá
Bolívar
0
4
L
10.08.25
Pri
Guabirá
Aurora
2
0
W
21.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Blooming
1
2
L
08.07.25
Pri
Guabirá
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
20.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
4
L
14.06.25
Pri
Guabirá
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
16.05.25
Pri
Guabirá
ABB
1
1
D
H2H away: Guabirá
31.07.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
25.02.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
L
26.07.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
2
2
D
28.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
4
2
L
29.11.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
L
21.02.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
L
01.12.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
0
L