CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.81
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.7%
1.60
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.81
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Universidad de Chile Win 71.7%
Draw 5%
Huachipato Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universidad de Chile1.44
Huachipato1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WWDLW
31 GF / 21 GA
Huachipato Huachipato
WLDWL
34 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
9
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
15
4.31
Shots on Goal
4.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 22 matches
Huachipato Huachipato 25 matches
Universidad de Chile Statistic Huachipato
10 Wins 9
7 Draws 4
5 Losses 12
31 Goals For 34
21 Goals Against 37
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 20
10 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 9
4.31 Shots On Goal 4.94
12.06 Total Shots 12.94
5.5 Corners 4.06
56.1% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Huachipato. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Huachipato having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 24 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a 17:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Eduardo Vargas (3 goals), Fabián Hormazábal (1 goals), Maximiliano Guerrero (1 goals), with creative support from Fabián Hormazábal (1 assists), Maximiliano Guerrero (1 assists), Israel Poblete (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Huachipato Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Huachipato have collected 24 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:25 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lionel Altamirano (4 goals), Maximiliano Gutiérrez (3 goals), Mario Briceño (2 goals), with creative support from Maximiliano Rodríguez (2 assists), Nelson Guillermo Guaiquil (2 assists), Ezequiel Cañete (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Universidad de Chile won 6 times, Huachipato won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:21 from Universidad de Chile's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Universidad de Chile 4-1-4-1 / Huachipato 4-3-3
H2H summary: Universidad de Chile wins 6, draws 3, Huachipato wins 5
Last matches: Universidad de Chile
26.07.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
2
1
W
05.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
3
2
W
02.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
3
3
D
21.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
4
1
W
19.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
2
0
W
14.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Concepción
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Cobresal
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
U. Catolica
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
4
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Colo Colo
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
13.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
2
L
Last matches: Huachipato
25.07.26
Pri
Huachipato
Cobresal
3
3
D
12.07.26
Cop
Huachipato
Deportes Temuco
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Huachipato
D. Puerto Montt
1
2
L
02.07.26
Cop
Huachipato
Concepción
1
2
L
28.06.26
Cop
Huachipato
Deportes Temuco
2
0
W
24.06.26
Cop
Huachipato
Concepción
2
3
L
21.06.26
Cop
Huachipato
D. Puerto Montt
0
2
L
14.06.26
Pri
Huachipato
Nublense
2
2
D
31.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
U. Catolica
0
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Concepción
0
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Union La Calera
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
A. Italiano
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
O'Higgins
2
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
Universidad de Concepcion
5
1
W
16.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Colo Colo
0
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Coquimbo Unido
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
24.02.26
CON
Huachipato
Carabobo FC
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Palestino
2
1
W
H2H: Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato
08.02.26
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
2
1
L
02.11.25
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
1
0
L
18.05.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
5
1
W
24.09.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
1
W
28.04.24
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
0
4
W
08.07.23
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
1
2
W
22.01.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
3
L
30.10.22
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
4
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
2
W
29.08.21
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
1
1
D
03.04.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
2
D
26.01.20
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
2
1
L
24.11.19
H2H
Huachipato
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
02.03.19
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
0
W
Last matches: Universidad de Chile
02.07.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Union San Felipe
2
0
W
21.06.26
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Wanderers
4
1
W
19.06.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Concepción
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
U. Catolica
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
D. La Serena
4
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
30.01.26
Pri
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
0
0
D
11.06.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Curico Unido
2
2
D
09.05.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Recoleta
1
1
D
22.03.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Santiago Morning
3
0
W
02.02.25
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Magallanes
0
1
L
20.11.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
1
0
W
13.10.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
09.09.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Palestino
0
1
L
14.07.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
01.07.24
Cop
Universidad de Chile
San Antonio Unido
7
0
W
21.06.23
Cop
Universidad de Chile
O'Higgins
0
0
D
H2H at home: Universidad de Chile
18.05.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
5
1
W
24.09.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
1
W
22.01.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
3
L
21.05.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
2
W
03.04.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
2
D
02.03.19
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
0
W
Last matches: Huachipato
12.07.26
Cop
Huachipato
Deportes Temuco
1
0
W
05.07.26
Cop
Huachipato
D. Puerto Montt
1
2
L
24.06.26
Cop
Huachipato
Concepción
2
3
L
14.06.26
Pri
Huachipato
Nublense
2
2
D
24.05.26
Pri
Huachipato
Concepción
0
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
D. La Serena
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Huachipato
O'Higgins
2
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Huachipato
Colo Colo
0
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Deportes Limache
0
3
L
17.02.26
CON
Huachipato
Carabobo FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Huachipato
Everton de Vina
3
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Huachipato
Cobresal
0
1
L
29.09.25
Cop
Huachipato
A. Italiano
0
1
L
13.07.25
Cop
Huachipato
Nublense
2
2
D
02.07.25
Cop
Huachipato
Concepción
1
1
D
10.05.25
Cop
Huachipato
Deportes Temuco
2
4
L
05.04.25
Cop
Huachipato
Rangers de Talca
0
0
D
09.02.25
Cop
Huachipato
O'Higgins
0
0
D
09.10.24
Cop
Huachipato
D. Puerto Montt
1
5
L
04.09.24
Cop
Huachipato
Imperial Unido
2
1
W
H2H away: Huachipato
18.05.25
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
5
1
L
24.09.24
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
1
L
22.01.23
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
3
W
21.05.22
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
2
L
03.04.21
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
1
1
D
20.12.20
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
2
2
D
02.03.19
H2H
Universidad de Chile
Huachipato
3
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.30
Draw 4.02
Home 1.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.65
Draw 2.39
Home 2.13
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.60
Over 2.5 1.81
Over 2.75 2.03
Over 3.0 2.41
Over 3.5 3.04
Over 4.5 5.86
Under 1.5 3.88
Under 2.0 3.04
Under 2.25 2.36
Under 2.5 2.02
Under 2.75 1.79
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.5 1.37
Under 4.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.25
Draw 3.75
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.25
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 2.50
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 2.75
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.14
Draw 3.80
Home 1.57
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.38
Draw 2.35
Home 2.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.93
Draw 2.65
Home 1.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.62
Over 2.5 1.83
Over 2.75 2.05
Over 3.0 2.40
Over 3.25 2.70
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 3.75 3.56
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.04
Over 4.5 5.90
Over 5.0 9.10
Over 5.5 11.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.00
Under 0.75 10.00
Under 1.0 7.30
Under 1.25 4.57
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 1.75 3.10
Under 2.0 2.70
Under 2.25 2.16
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 2.75 1.69
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.40
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 3.75 1.24
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.80
Draw 3.75
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.28
Home 2.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 2.55
Home 2.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.61
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 2.75 2.06
Over 3.0 2.45
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.70
Over 4.0 4.90
Over 4.25 5.20
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 4.75 6.75
Over 5.0 10.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.0 2.65
Under 2.25 2.12
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.38
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.22
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.03

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 0 3 32:13 19 39
W W W W W
2 16 8 3 5 38:23 15 27
D W W L W
3 16 7 6 3 19:11 8 27
W W D W L
4 16 6 7 3 20:19 1 25
W D W D L
5 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
6 16 7 3 6 26:25 1 24
D D L L W
7 16 7 3 6 23:23 0 24
L W D W W
8 16 6 5 5 20:16 4 23
D L W D W
9 16 6 3 7 31:26 5 21
L L L L L
10 16 6 2 8 19:24 -5 20
L L D L L
11 16 4 7 5 24:28 -4 19
D D L W L
12 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
13 16 5 2 9 16:23 -7 17
W W L W L
14 16 4 4 8 19:23 -4 16
L D D W L
15 16 4 2 10 22:32 -10 14
D L L L W
16 16 3 4 9 15:29 -14 13
D D D L L