Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universidad Catolica
25 matches
Tecnico Universitario
23 matches
| Universidad Catolica | Statistic | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 2 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 38 | Goals For | 20 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 14.08 | Total Shots | 12.09 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 58% | Ball Possession | 42.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 35 points compared to Tecnico Universitario in 14 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tecnico Universitario. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tecnico Universitario in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. Tecnico Universitario arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Operating from 2 place with 35 points from 21 games, Universidad Catolica bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 33:19, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through José Fajardo (4 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), Daniel Clavijo (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (7 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), José Fajardo (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
With 23 points from 21 games and a place of 14, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 12 defeats with a 19:24 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 6 times, Tecnico Universitario won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:16 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Universidad Catolica
4
3
2
4
1
3
Lineups
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64:26 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 |
Universidad Catolica
Home
|
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 45:23 | 22 | 43 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33:25 | 8 | 42 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 26:20 | 6 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:20 | 8 | 39 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 35 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 33 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21:31 | -10 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 17:28 | -11 | 24 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 12:37 | -25 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
L
|