Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
50%
|
- |
Universidad Catolica
Libertad
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Universidad Catolica
11 matches
Libertad
8 matches
| Universidad Catolica | Statistic | Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 18 | Goals For | 8 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.64 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 4.3 | Corners | 4 |
| 58.6% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Universidad Catolica's more proactive style and Libertad's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Universidad Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Libertad in 10 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Universidad Catolica expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Libertad in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Universidad Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a 13:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Palacios (3 goals), E. Clavijo (2 goals), A. Londono (1 goals), with creative support from Jhon Chancellor (2 assists), Mauro Díaz (2 assists), B. Palacios (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Libertad are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Chere (2 goals), V. Branda (2 goals), B. Caicedo (1 goals), with creative support from G. J. Cortez Casierra (2 assists), J. Guisamano (2 assists), A. Chere (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Universidad Catolica won 2 times, Libertad won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Universidad Catolica's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.
Universidad Catolica
7
3
6
4
5
2
Lineups
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Orense SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Universidad Catolica
Sporting Cristal
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Deportivo Cuenca
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Aucas
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Guayaquil City FC
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Mushuc Runa SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Barcelona SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Libertad
Manta FC
Universidad Catolica
Mushuc Runa SC
Universidad Catolica
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Macara
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Guayaquil City FC
Universidad Catolica
Deportivo Cuenca
Universidad Catolica
Leones del Norte
Universidad Catolica
Juventud
Libertad
Manta FC
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Emelec
Libertad
Macara
Libertad
Orense SC
Libertad
Delfin SC
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Leones del Norte
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Universidad Catolica
Home
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Libertad
Away
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|