SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
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Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.2%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
United Nordic Win 63.2%
Draw 9.3%
Orebro SK Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
United Nordic1.72
Orebro SK1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
United Nordic United Nordic
WWDLW
43 GF / 27 GA
Orebro SK Orebro SK
WLDWL
31 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
2.05
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
12
2.5
Shots on Goal
2.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

United Nordic United Nordic 21 matches
Orebro SK Orebro SK 22 matches
United Nordic Statistic Orebro SK
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 7
5 Losses 7
43 Goals For 31
27 Goals Against 27
2.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
13 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 9
3 Failed To Score 5
2.5 Shots On Goal 2.14
3.57 Total Shots 2.71
2.14 Corners 1.86
25.1% Ball Possession 28.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by United Nordic's more proactive style and Orebro SK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orebro SK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Orebro SK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with United Nordic expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Orebro SK in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orebro SK having the stronger overall control. United Nordic arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 22 points compared to Orebro SK in 14 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

United Nordic Analysis

United Nordic are currently 6 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 23:22 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Orebro SK Analysis

Orebro SK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 14 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 13:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: United Nordic 3-4-3 / Orebro SK 4-4-1-1
Last matches: United Nordic
27.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Oddevold
3
3
D
21.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Norrby IF
0
0
D
16.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Landskrona BoIS
0
2
L
09.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
31.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
IFK Varnamo
2
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
IK brage
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
Falkenbergs FF
1
4
L
13.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
IFK Norrkoping
1
1
D
09.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
Osters IF
4
2
W
02.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
Ljungskile SK
2
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
Sandviken
2
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
4
L
11.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
Helsingborg
3
1
W
06.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
GIF Sundsvall
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
United Nordic
Trollhättan
4
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
United Nordic
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
Stockholm Internazionale
1
0
W
22.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
Stocksund
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
Haninge
5
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
IFK Norrkoping
1
1
D
Last matches: Orebro SK
11.07.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
4
2
W
27.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
22.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Sandviken
1
1
D
14.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
10.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
GIF Sundsvall
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Helsingborg
1
2
L
18.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Oddevold
1
4
L
12.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
08.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IK brage
0
3
L
02.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
25.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Norrby IF
1
1
D
21.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Norrkoping
2
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Osters IF
0
0
D
06.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Landskrona BoIS
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
AIK Stockholm
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
3
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
3
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Atvidabergs FF
2
0
W
Last matches: United Nordic
27.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Oddevold
3
3
D
09.06.26
Sup
United Nordic
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
IK brage
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
Falkenbergs FF
1
4
L
09.05.26
Sup
United Nordic
Osters IF
4
2
W
25.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
Sandviken
2
1
W
11.04.26
Sup
United Nordic
Helsingborg
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
United Nordic
Trollhättan
4
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
Stocksund
7
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
Haninge
5
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
United Nordic
IFK Norrkoping
1
1
D
Last matches: Orebro SK
11.07.26
Fri
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
4
2
W
27.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
14.06.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
31.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
18.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Oddevold
1
4
L
12.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
1
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Orebro SK
Osters IF
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
AIK Stockholm
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
Orebro SK
IFK Varnamo
3
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Orebro SK
FK Liepaja
3
0
W

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 8 4 2 28:20 8 28
W W D L W
2 14 8 3 3 28:17 11 27
W L L W W
3 14 8 2 4 23:10 13 26
L W W W W
4 14 7 4 3 22:14 8 25
W W W W D
5 14 6 4 4 22:19 3 22
W L D D W
6 14 6 4 4 23:22 1 22
D D L D W
7 14 5 5 4 26:22 4 20
D D W L L
8 14 6 2 6 21:23 -2 20
L L W W W
9 14 6 2 6 26:29 -3 20
L W W L L
10 14 5 4 5 24:20 4 19
W D W W W
11 14 4 4 6 26:26 0 16
L W L D D
12 14 4 4 6 18:18 0 16
W D D D L
13 14 2 8 4 16:20 -4 14
W D L L L
14 14 3 5 6 13:20 -7 14
L D D L L
15 14 3 1 10 15:31 -16 10
L L L L L
16 14 3 0 11 11:31 -20 9
L L L W L
Promotion - Allsvenskan
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Promotion)
Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)
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