SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
09.09.2026 17:00
Sodertalje Fotbollsarena
Referee: Jasmin Svraka, Sweden
United Nordic
Match Timeline
IFK Varnamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
M. Antonsson · Assist: H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
55'
K. Meriluoto · Assist: A. Motaraghebjafarpour
IFK Varnamo
🔄
58'
H. Andersson ↔ E. Freij
IFK Varnamo
63'
T. Gronborg · Assist: E. Andersson
United Nordic
70'
A. Ljungberg
IFK Varnamo
🔄
72'
A. Ljungberg ↔ C. Johansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
72'
K. Meriluoto ↔ S. Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
80'
Sigge Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
80'
T. Johansson ↔ A. Eminovic
United Nordic
🔄
80'
E. Durmaz ↔ A. Fisic
United Nordic
🔄
80'
M. Fazal ↔ C. Aphrem
United Nordic
85'
S. Shhab · Assist: A. Harabi
United Nordic
88'
M. Antonsson · Assist: V. Claesson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
90'
Shirko Shhab
United Nordic
🔄
90+1'
C. Johansson ↔ M. Kamara
IFK Varnamo

United Nordic vs IFK Varnamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.6%
1.30
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.68
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
78.5%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
United Nordic Win 48.8%
Draw 8.4%
IFK Varnamo Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
United Nordic1.81
IFK Varnamo1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
United Nordic United Nordic
WWDLW
54 GF / 36 GA
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WLDWL
40 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
19
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
2.2
Shots on Goal
2.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

United Nordic United Nordic 29 matches
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 30 matches
United Nordic Statistic IFK Varnamo
14 Wins 8
9 Draws 8
6 Losses 14
54 Goals For 40
36 Goals Against 52
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
19 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 10
2.2 Shots On Goal 2.16
4.1 Total Shots 3.95
2.55 Corners 2.89
22.8% Ball Possession 30.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights United Nordic's more proactive style and IFK Varnamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IFK Varnamo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

United Nordic Analysis

United Nordic are currently 6 in the standings with 32 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 32:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kalipha Jawla (2 goals), Amar Eminovic (1 goals), with creative support from Christian Aphrem (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

So far, IFK Varnamo have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 22 points from 21 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 25:38 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Axel Björnström (2 goals), Simon Thern (1 goals), Marcus Antonsson (1 goals), with creative support from Simon Thern (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, United Nordic won 1 times, IFK Varnamo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from United Nordic's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.6%)
Predicted formations: United Nordic 4-4-2 / IFK Varnamo 4-4-2
H2H summary: United Nordic wins 1, draws 0, IFK Varnamo wins 0

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 24 8 5 11 36:45 -9 29
L W L D L
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
13 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
14 24 4 11 9 28:35 -7 23
L L L L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 24 5 1 18 16:51 -35 16
L L W W L
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