12.09.2026 18:45
Stade Joseph Marien

Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
1.21
BTTS No
50.8%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.41
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.6%
2.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 3-0
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Union St. Gilloise Win 60.6%
Draw 4.1%
Lommel United Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union St. Gilloise2.51
Lommel United1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WWDLW
41 GF / 18 GA
Lommel United Lommel United
WLDWL
17 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
3.15
Average Goals Scored
1.55
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
7
BTTS Yes
6
12
Over 2.5
6
6.43
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 13 matches
Lommel United Lommel United 11 matches
Union St. Gilloise Statistic Lommel United
9 Wins 5
2 Draws 2
2 Losses 4
41 Goals For 17
18 Goals Against 17
3.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.55
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 8
12 Over 2.5 6
8 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
6.43 Shots On Goal 2.6
15.57 Total Shots 10.2
4.57 Corners 3
46.6% Ball Possession 43.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 8 times, Lommel United won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:13 from Union St. Gilloise's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3 / Lommel United 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Union St. Gilloise wins 8, draws 6, Lommel United wins 1

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 10:2 8 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
W W W D W
3 5 4 0 1 9:2 7 12
W L W W W
4 5 4 0 1 11:5 6 12
L W W W W
5 5 3 2 0 10:3 7 11
W D W D W
6 5 3 2 0 10:6 4 11
W W W D D
7 5 2 2 1 12:8 4 8
D W D W L
8 5 2 2 1 12:8 4 8
W L W D D
9 5 2 1 2 6:3 3 7
L W W L D
10 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L L D W W
11 5 2 1 2 3:5 -2 7
D W L L W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
W L L W L
13 5 1 1 3 9:14 -5 4
W D L L L
14 5 0 2 3 5:10 -5 2
L L L D D
15 5 0 2 3 5:13 -8 2
L D L D L
16 5 0 1 4 4:12 -8 1
L D L L L
17 5 0 0 5 2:12 -10 0
L L L L L
18 5 0 0 5 1:12 -11 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League