Union Santa Fe vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
63.1%
|
1.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.14 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.30 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
9.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
15.00 |
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Santa Fe
26 matches
Sarmiento Junin
24 matches
| Union Santa Fe | Statistic | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 1 |
| 10 | Losses | 12 |
| 36 | Goals For | 26 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.13 | Shots On Goal | 3.82 |
| 15.83 | Total Shots | 10.55 |
| 4.88 | Corners | 3.91 |
| 49.5% | Ball Possession | 45.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Union Santa Fe's more proactive style and Sarmiento Junin's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Sarmiento Junin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sarmiento Junin having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sarmiento Junin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Union Santa Fe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
Union Santa Fe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 21 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 24:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Menossi (3 goals), Agustín Colazo (3 goals), Cristian Tarragona (2 goals), with creative support from Julián Palacios (4 assists), Cristian Tarragona (1 assists), Lautaro Vargas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Sarmiento Junin sit 11 with 19 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 13:20 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by Junior Marabel (5 goals), Cristian Zabala (1 goals), Pablo Magnin (1 goals), with creative support from Junior Marabel (2 assists), Cristian Zabala (1 assists), Pablo Magnin (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 7 times, Sarmiento Junin won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Union Santa Fe
Home
|
16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
D
D
L
W
|