ARGENTINA COPA ARGENTINA
22.05.2026 23:00
Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Referee: S. Zunino
Union Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Independiente
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
M. Rodriguez
Union Santa Fe
5'
S. Montiel
Independiente
🟨
9'
M. Perez Curci
Independiente
🟨
22'
M. Rodriguez
Union Santa Fe
🟥
22'
M. Rodriguez
Union Santa Fe
24'
M. Gutierrez
Independiente
🟨
45+1'
J. Palacios
Union Santa Fe
🟨
45+1'
M. Pitton
Union Santa Fe
🔄
46'
A. Colazo ↔ A. Solari
Union Santa Fe
🔄
46'
M. Abaldo ↔ I. Malcorra
Independiente
🔄
46'
M. Perez Curci ↔ L. Millan
Independiente
🟨
59'
J. Fedorco
Independiente
🟨
71'
S. Montiel
Independiente
🔄
72'
G. Avalos ↔ F. Tempone
Independiente
🔄
73'
S. Montiel ↔ L. Cabral
Independiente
🔄
79'
L. Menossi ↔ T. Gonzalez
Union Santa Fe
🔄
79'
L. Vargas ↔ S. Grella
Union Santa Fe
🔄
89'
M. Del Blanco ↔ C. Corvalan
Union Santa Fe
🔄
89'
C. Tarragona ↔ D. Diaz
Union Santa Fe
🔄
89'
M. Gutierrez ↔ F. Valdez
Independiente
🟨
90+3'
F. Tempone
Independiente

Union Santa Fe vs Independiente Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
Independiente Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.44
Independiente1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Independiente Independiente
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
8
5.39
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 19 matches
Independiente Independiente 18 matches
Union Santa Fe Statistic Independiente
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
28 Goals For 29
23 Goals Against 25
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 1
5.39 Shots On Goal 4.06
16.67 Total Shots 12.59
5.22 Corners 5.53
49.6% Ball Possession 52.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-4-2 / Independiente 4-3-3
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 2, draws 6, Independiente wins 6