Union Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Independiente
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
70.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 70.8%
Draw 0%
Independiente Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.44
Independiente1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Independiente
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.61
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
8
5.39
Shots on Goal
4.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union Santa Fe
19 matches
Independiente
18 matches
| Union Santa Fe | Statistic | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 28 | Goals For | 29 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.61 |
| 1.21 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.39 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 16.67 | Total Shots | 12.59 |
| 5.22 | Corners | 5.53 |
| 49.6% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 2 times, Independiente won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-4-2 / Independiente 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 2, draws 6, Independiente wins 6
Lineups
Union Santa Fe
Formation
Independiente
M. Mansilla
L. Vargas
M. Rodriguez
J. Luduena
M. Del Blanco
J. Palacios
M. Pitton
R. Profini
L. Menossi
A. Colazo
C. Tarragona
R. Rey
S. Arias
J. Fedorco
S. Valdez
F. Zabala
M. Perez Curci
I. Marcone
M. Gutierrez
S. Montiel
M. Abaldo
G. Avalos
Union Santa Fe
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
21
M. Mansilla
35
L. Vargas
↓ 79'
2
M. Rodriguez
🟨 4'
🟨 22'
🟥 22'
26
J. Luduena
11
M. Del Blanco
↓ 89'
20
J. Palacios
🟨 45+1'
30
M. Pitton
🟨 45+1'
24
R. Profini
5
L. Menossi
↓ 79'
9
A. Colazo
↓ 46'
25
C. Tarragona
↓ 89'
Substitutes
40
L. Meuli
3
C. Corvalan
↑ 89'
23
A. Solari
↑ 46'
10
T. Gonzalez
↑ 79'
4
E. Alvarez
43
E. Giaccone
46
S. Grella
↑ 79'
7
F. Fragapane
8
N. Palavecino
32
N. Paz
13
V. Fascendini
29
D. Diaz
↑ 89'
Independiente
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
33
R. Rey
4
S. Arias
13
J. Fedorco
🟨 59'
36
S. Valdez
22
F. Zabala
16
M. Perez Curci
↓ 46'
🟨 9'
23
I. Marcone
28
M. Gutierrez
⚽ 24'
↓ 89'
7
S. Montiel
⚽ 5'
↓ 73'
🟨 71'
19
M. Abaldo
↓ 46'
9
G. Avalos
↓ 72'
Substitutes
1
J. Blazquez
6
N. Freire
26
K. Lomonaco
39
J. De Irastorza
43
F. Valdez
↑ 89'
11
F. Mancuello
40
I. Malcorra
↑ 46'
10
L. Cabral
↑ 73'
29
L. Godoy
5
Rodrigo Fernandez
8
L. Millan
↑ 46'
34
F. Tempone
↑ 72'
🟨 90+3'
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
12.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
27.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2
2
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
10.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
4
4
D
01.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
2
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
3
1
W
23.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
07.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
0
1
L
03.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
4
0
W
29.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
1
2
L
22.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
0
0
D
Last matches: Independiente
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Defensa Y Justicia
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Racing Club
1
0
W
27.03.26
Cop
Independiente
Atenas
4
2
W
21.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Talleres Cordoba
1
2
L
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
10.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
28.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Lanus
2
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
1
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.
1
1
D
H2H: Union Santa Fe vs Independiente
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
10.03.26
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
4
4
D
06.11.24
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
3
0
L
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
W
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
L
26.10.21
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
1
0
L
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
29.04.20
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
09.02.19
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
2
1
L
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
W
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
L
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
24.10.13
H2H
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
Last matches: Union Santa Fe
02.05.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
1
1
D
17.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
2
3
L
03.04.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
2
0
W
31.03.26
Cop
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
23.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
03.02.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
4
0
W
22.01.26
Lig
Union Santa Fe
Platense
0
0
D
H2H at home: Union Santa Fe
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
L
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
W
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
L
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
W
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
L
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
Last matches: Independiente
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente
Rosario Central
1
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Independiente
San Lorenzo
2
1
W
24.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0
2
L
11.04.26
Lig
Independiente
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lig
Independiente
Instituto Cordoba
1
2
L
25.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
2
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Independiente
Platense
1
0
W
28.01.26
Lig
Independiente
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
H2H away: Independiente
22.05.26
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
2
W
24.06.23
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
3
0
L
19.09.22
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
1
W
25.04.21
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D
30.10.19
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
2
2
D
12.05.18
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
0
L
23.06.17
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
3
W
14.03.15
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
1
1
D
05.04.14
H2H
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
0
0
D