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26.10.2026 22:00
Estadio 15 de Abril
Referee: Pablo Dovalo
Union Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Estudiantes L.P.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
40'
Lucas Ayala
Estudiantes L.P.
🟨
44'
Lucas Piovi
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
45'
Mateo Peresutti ↔ Mauro Luna Diale
Union Santa Fe
🔄
45'
Tobias Javier Rubio ↔ Juan Pintado
Union Santa Fe
⚽
51'
Cristian Tarragona · Assist: Juan Pintado
Union Santa Fe
🟥
52'
Alexander Medina
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
56'
Matías Emiliano Rocha Calderón ↔ Ignacio Isla
Union Santa Fe
⚽
64'
Marcelo Estigarriba
Union Santa Fe
🔄
65'
Adolfo Gaich ↔ Benjamin Sagues Barreiro
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
65'
Edwuin Cetre ↔ Brian Aguirre
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
74'
Marcelo Estigarriba ↔ Erik Ramirez
Union Santa Fe
🟨
75'
Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
77'
Eros Nazareno Mancuso ↔ Fabricio Pérez
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
85'
Julián Palacios ↔ Victor Malcorra
Union Santa Fe
🔄
88'
Eric Meza ↔ Alexis Castro
Estudiantes L.P.
🔄
88'
Lucas Piovi ↔ Lucas Alario
Estudiantes L.P.
⚽
90+6'
Erik Ramirez · Assist: Cristian Tarragona
Union Santa Fe

Union Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
60.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Santa Fe Win 39.7%
Draw 18.6%
Estudiantes L.P. Win 41.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Santa Fe1.11
Estudiantes L.P.1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
D L L L L
3 GF / 10 GA
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
D L D D W
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
19
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
16
4.9
Shots on Goal
5.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 33 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 46 matches
Union Santa Fe Statistic Estudiantes L.P.
11 Wins 20
8 Draws 13
14 Losses 13
46 Goals For 57
47 Goals Against 32
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
19 BTTS Yes 15
28 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 20
10 Failed To Score 17
4.9 Shots On Goal 5.05
15.52 Total Shots 14.17
4.61 Corners 4.45
49% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Santa Fe expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Estudiantes L.P. in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Estudiantes L.P. having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes L.P.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Union Santa Fe have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Estudiantes L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 31 points while Union Santa Fe sit 8 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Union Santa Fe Analysis

With 21 points from 16 games and a place of 8, Union Santa Fe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 24:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Tarragona (7 goals), L. Menossi (4 goals), A. Colazo (4 goals), with creative support from J. Palacios (4 assists), C. Tarragona (1 assists), L. Menossi (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 19:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Gaich (4 goals), E. Cetré (3 goals), F. Pérez Escudero (3 goals), with creative support from T. Palacios (3 assists), E. Cetré (2 assists), G. Benedetti (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Santa Fe won 3 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:19 from Union Santa Fe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.4%)
Predicted formations: Union Santa Fe 4-4-2 / Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Union Santa Fe wins 3, draws 3, Estudiantes L.P. wins 9

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D L L D W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W W D W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W W L D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L L D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D L D D L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D D W W D
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D D W W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
D W D L L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W W L D D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D D
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D W L D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L D L D
Knockout Phase