CHILE PRIMERA B
29.08.2026 16:30
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe
Match Timeline
Deportes Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
I. Quiroz ↔ P. Brito
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
59'
P. Munoz ↔ A. Fontana
Union San Felipe
🔄
64'
N. Barrios ↔ F. Alvarado
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
64'
M. Pinto ↔ C. Moreno
Deportes Santa Cruz
🔄
71'
B. Gonzalez ↔ A. Leon
Union San Felipe
🔄
71'
M. Galleguillos ↔ R. Diaz
Union San Felipe
🔄
84'
B. Aravena ↔ B. Vides
Union San Felipe
🔄
84'
↔ H. Cavero
Deportes Santa Cruz
🟨
90+3'
G. Alucema
Deportes Santa Cruz

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.2%
Odds 2.91
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.2%
2.91
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.90
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.60
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 34.8%
Draw 6%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win 59.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe1.1
Deportes Santa Cruz1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
21 GF / 45 GA
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz
WLDWL
37 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
10
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 27 matches
Deportes Santa Cruz Deportes Santa Cruz 28 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Deportes Santa Cruz
7 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
14 Losses 12
21 Goals For 37
45 Goals Against 44
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
10 BTTS Yes 18
20 Over 1.5 21
10 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 5
13 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportes Santa Cruz. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 20 points from 20 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 15:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Santa Cruz Analysis

Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 24:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 7 times, Deportes Santa Cruz won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-5-1 / Deportes Santa Cruz -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 7, draws 5, Deportes Santa Cruz wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
4 24 10 8 6 41:24 17 38
D L W W D
5 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W