CHILE › PRIMERA B
04.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.9%
Odds 2.44
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.98
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.9%
2.44 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.98 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.79 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 13.3%
Draw 6.8%
Deportes Iquique Win 79.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe0.92
Deportes Iquique1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
22 GF / 50 GA
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
WLDWL
48 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.61
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
11
BTTS Yes
20
11
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 31 matches
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 34 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Deportes Iquique
7 Wins 9
8 Draws 14
16 Losses 11
22 Goals For 48
50 Goals Against 42
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.61 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
11 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 27
11 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 8
16 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Deportes Iquique's more proactive style and Union San Felipe's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Iquique having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportes Iquique.

Union San Felipe Analysis

With 22 points from 24 games and a place of 15, Union San Felipe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 16:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Iquique Analysis

With 28 points from 25 games and a place of 12, Deportes Iquique still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats with a 33:30 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 3 times, Deportes Iquique won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-5-1 / Deportes Iquique -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 3, draws 1, Deportes Iquique wins 3

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 44:27 17 48
W W D L W
2 26 12 8 6 41:28 13 44
L L L W W
3 25 12 8 5 39:29 10 44
W W W W L
4 26 12 7 7 42:38 4 43
W W D D L
5 26 11 8 7 38:34 4 41
W D W W D
6 26 10 9 7 33:24 9 39
W W L W L
7 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
8 26 10 7 9 40:39 1 37
W W D L L
9 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
10 26 10 4 12 26:34 -8 34
L L L W L
11 26 8 8 10 40:36 4 32
L D W L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 26 6 9 11 22:39 -17 27
L L W L D
14 26 4 10 12 27:40 -13 22
L D W D D
15 25 5 7 13 16:42 -26 22
L L D D L
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W