CHILE PRIMERA B
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Estadio Municipal de San Felipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 51.9%
Draw 13.1%
Deportes Iquique Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe1.12
Deportes Iquique1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
19 GF / 34 GA
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique
WLDWL
29 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
9
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 20 matches
Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 21 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Deportes Iquique
6 Wins 4
5 Draws 10
9 Losses 7
19 Goals For 29
34 Goals Against 29
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
9 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Iquique having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportes Iquique. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe sit 13 with 16 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 13:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Munoz (3 goals), B. Guajardo Barrera (2 goals), B. Riveros (2 goals), with creative support from B. Riveros (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Iquique Analysis

Deportes Iquique sit 14 with 13 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 19:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Ramos (5 goals), A. Venezia (4 goals), B. Garrido (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 3 times, Deportes Iquique won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-4-2 / Deportes Iquique -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 3, draws 1, Deportes Iquique wins 3
Last matches: Union San Felipe
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
28.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Universidad de Chile
0
2
L
21.06.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
2
0
W
08.06.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Union Espanola
2
2
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Temuco
0
5
L
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Copiapo
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Luis
0
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Santa Cruz
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Cobreloa
0
2
L
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Recoleta
0
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
0
5
L
07.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
01.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportes Iquique
04.07.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Recoleta
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Magallanes
3
4
L
23.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Curico Unido
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Union Espanola
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Rangers de Talca
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
2
D
28.04.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Santiago Wanderers
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
San Luis
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
D. Puerto Montt
0
0
D
29.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Antofagasta
0
4
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Copiapo
0
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Cobreloa
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Union San Felipe
5
0
W
07.02.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
4
0
W
H2H: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique
21.02.26
H2H
Deportes Iquique
Union San Felipe
5
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
26.03.23
H2H
Deportes Iquique
Union San Felipe
1
2
W
22.10.22
H2H
Deportes Iquique
Union San Felipe
3
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
2
0
W
19.10.21
H2H
Deportes Iquique
Union San Felipe
1
0
L
15.07.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
3
1
W
Last matches: Union San Felipe
04.07.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
D. Puerto Montt
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Rangers de Talca
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Magallanes
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Curico Unido
0
0
D
23.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
San Marcos de Arica
1
1
D
06.03.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Antofagasta
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
1
D
01.02.26
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
2
1
W
06.04.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Deportes Limache
1
2
L
23.03.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Colo Colo
0
1
L
16.02.25
Cop
Union San Felipe
Santiago Wanderers
1
3
L
09.04.23
Cop
Union San Felipe
San Luis
1
1
D
18.06.22
Cop
Union San Felipe
U. Catolica
1
3
L
20.07.19
Cop
Union San Felipe
A. Italiano
0
1
L
09.06.19
Cop
Union San Felipe
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
H2H at home: Union San Felipe
13.08.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
21.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
2
0
W
15.07.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
3
1
W
Last matches: Deportes Iquique
27.06.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Limache
4
1
W
20.06.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Magallanes
3
4
L
18.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Union Espanola
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Santa Cruz
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
San Luis
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Antofagasta
0
4
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Copiapo
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Temuco
1
1
D
07.02.26
Cop
Deportes Iquique
San Marcos de Arica
0
0
D
11.05.25
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Antofagasta
1
3
L
23.03.25
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Cobreloa
0
0
D
02.02.25
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Deportes Copiapo
0
1
L
08.09.24
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Coquimbo Unido
0
1
L
13.07.24
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Cobreloa
2
0
W
23.06.24
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Antofagasta
1
2
L
16.06.24
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Norte Unido
3
1
W
07.04.23
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Unión Iquique
5
0
W
27.03.22
Cop
Deportes Iquique
Cobreloa
0
2
L
27.06.21
Cop
Deportes Iquique
U. Catolica
4
4
D
H2H away: Deportes Iquique
13.08.23
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
1
1
D
21.05.22
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
2
0
L
15.07.21
H2H
Union San Felipe
Deportes Iquique
3
1
L

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 30:17 13 29
D W D W L
2 15 7 5 3 29:18 11 26
L D W W W
3 15 6 7 2 19:11 8 25
L L W D D
4 15 6 5 4 26:18 8 23
L W W W L
5 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
D L D D W
6 15 6 5 4 24:21 3 23
W D W W L
7 15 7 2 6 17:16 1 23
D L L L W
8 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
D D L W W
9 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D W L W L
10 15 6 4 5 24:24 0 22
D D D L W
11 15 6 4 5 21:23 -2 22
W D W L W
12 15 4 6 5 16:24 -8 18
W W D L D
13 15 4 4 7 13:27 -14 16
D W L W L
14 15 2 7 6 19:23 -4 13
D L D L D
15 15 2 6 7 19:26 -7 12
W D D L L
16 15 0 3 12 11:28 -17 3
L L L L D
Promotion - Liga de Primera
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - Segunda Division