CHILE PRIMERA B
26.09.2026 15:30
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe

Union San Felipe vs Deportes Copiapo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
76.5%
-
BTTS No
56%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-3
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 23.6%
Draw 24.7%
Deportes Copiapo Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe1.07
Deportes Copiapo1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
21 GF / 45 GA
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo
WLDWL
36 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
10
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 29 matches
Deportes Copiapo Deportes Copiapo 30 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Deportes Copiapo
7 Wins 9
8 Draws 8
14 Losses 13
21 Goals For 36
45 Goals Against 48
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
10 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 25
10 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 6
15 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportes Copiapo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportes Copiapo having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Deportes Copiapo arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 22 points from 23 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 15:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportes Copiapo Analysis

Deportes Copiapo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 30 points from 23 matches. The overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats with a 32:37 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 5 times, Deportes Copiapo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.83 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-5-1 / Deportes Copiapo -
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 5, draws 3, Deportes Copiapo wins 4

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 10 8 6 41:24 17 38
D L W W D
4 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
5 24 10 7 7 36:33 3 37
W W D W D
6 24 10 7 7 39:38 1 37
D D L W W
7 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
8 24 10 4 10 26:29 -3 34
L W L L D
9 24 8 9 7 28:23 5 33
L W L L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 24 6 9 9 22:35 -13 27
W L D W L
13 24 5 10 9 31:29 2 25
L L L W D
14 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
15 24 4 9 11 26:38 -12 21
W D D L L
16 24 4 6 14 22:38 -16 18
W W W W L