CHILE PRIMERA B
16.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal de San Felipe
Union San Felipe
Match Timeline
Cobreloa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
T. Aranguiz
Cobreloa
🔄
26'
M. Galleguillos ↔ B. Gonzalez
Union San Felipe
🟨
30'
L. Garcia
Union San Felipe
🟨
31'
J. Gatica
Cobreloa
🔄
59'
J. Gatica ↔ J. Duma
Cobreloa
🟨
64'
G. Gotti
Cobreloa
🔄
69'
A. Delgado ↔ M. Sandoval
Cobreloa
🔄
76'
F. Lobos ↔ G. A. Jara Gonzalez
Union San Felipe
🔄
76'
A. Fontana ↔ P. Munoz
Union San Felipe
80'
F. Velazco
Cobreloa
🔄
83'
D. Bravo ↔ D. Fuentes
Union San Felipe
🔄
83'
N. Palmieri ↔ A. Leon
Union San Felipe
🔄
90+1'
F. Velazco ↔ L. Cornejo
Cobreloa

Union San Felipe vs Cobreloa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union San Felipe Win 40.7%
Draw 5%
Cobreloa Win 54.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union San Felipe0.95
Cobreloa1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union San Felipe Union San Felipe
WWDLW
21 GF / 42 GA
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WLDWL
45 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union San Felipe Union San Felipe 25 matches
Cobreloa Cobreloa 26 matches
Union San Felipe Statistic Cobreloa
7 Wins 11
6 Draws 11
12 Losses 4
21 Goals For 45
42 Goals Against 29
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 18
19 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 9
6 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Cobreloa's more proactive style and Union San Felipe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cobreloa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cobreloa carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Union San Felipe sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cobreloa. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Union San Felipe Analysis

Union San Felipe sit 14 with 17 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 14:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 34 points after 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 35:20 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union San Felipe won 2 times, Cobreloa won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Union San Felipe's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Union San Felipe 4-5-1 / Cobreloa 4-2-1-3
H2H summary: Union San Felipe wins 2, draws 6, Cobreloa wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 24 11 8 5 38:29 9 41
W W W L W
4 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
5 25 10 8 7 42:26 16 38
L D L W W
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 25 10 6 9 32:32 0 36
D L D L W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 25 8 8 9 40:35 5 32
D W L W L
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W