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15.11.2026 21:00
Estadio Sierra Nevada

Union Magdalena vs Popayan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 43.5%
Draw 27.1%
Popayan Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.32
Popayan1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
D D D D W
4 GF / 3 GA
Popayan Popayan
L W W D W
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
24
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 41 matches
Popayan Popayan 34 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Popayan
17 Wins 10
15 Draws 11
9 Losses 13
54 Goals For 41
38 Goals Against 45
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
24 BTTS Yes 20
31 Over 1.5 26
15 Over 2.5 15
7 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Popayan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Popayan. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Popayan having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Placed 4 with 65 points from 40 outings, Union Magdalena continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 17 wins, 14 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 53:37 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Popayan Analysis

Popayan sit 10 with 41 points after 33 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 41:43 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Union Magdalena won 1 times, Popayan won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Union Magdalena's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.9%)
H2H summary: Union Magdalena wins 1, draws 3, Popayan wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 21 10 9 44:30 14 73
W L W W W
2 42 19 14 9 56:35 21 71
W L D W W
3 42 17 15 10 65:48 17 66
D W L D D
4 40 17 14 9 53:37 16 65
D D D D W
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 40 13 14 13 37:32 5 53
L W D D L
7 34 12 13 9 36:30 6 49
D D L L L
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 34 10 13 11 36:35 1 43
D L D L W
10 34 10 11 13 41:45 -4 41
L W W D W
11 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
12 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)