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02.11.2026 23:10
Estadio Sierra Nevada

Union Magdalena vs Envigado Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 32.1%
Draw 26%
Envigado Win 41.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.16
Envigado1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
D W W D D
6 GF / 4 GA
Envigado Envigado
W W W D D
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
22
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 38 matches
Envigado Envigado 40 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Envigado
17 Wins 19
12 Draws 13
9 Losses 8
52 Goals For 55
36 Goals Against 34
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
22 BTTS Yes 20
29 Over 1.5 28
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 18
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Envigado. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Envigado having the stronger overall control.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Placed 4 with 61 points from 36 outings, Union Magdalena continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 17 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, while the 50:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 64 points from 38 matches. The record of 17 wins, 13 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 51:33 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Union Magdalena won 3 times, Envigado won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Union Magdalena's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74%)
H2H summary: Union Magdalena wins 3, draws 1, Envigado wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W W D D W
1 6 4 1 1 8:6 2 13
W W L W W
2 6 3 1 2 4:3 1 10
L L W W D
2 6 2 3 1 8:4 4 9
D D W L W
3 6 1 4 1 3:3 0 7
D W D D D
3 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
L D D W L
4 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D L L L L
4 6 0 3 3 3:8 -5 3
D L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)