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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
24.10.2026 20:30
Estadio La Independencia

Union Magdalena vs Depor FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Magdalena Win 42.5%
Draw 4.3%
Depor FC Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Magdalena1.43
Depor FC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Magdalena Union Magdalena
WWDLW
50 GF / 35 GA
Depor FC Depor FC
WLDWL
28 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
21
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 36 matches
Depor FC Depor FC 28 matches
Union Magdalena Statistic Depor FC
16 Wins 6
11 Draws 9
9 Losses 13
50 Goals For 28
35 Goals Against 42
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
21 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Union Magdalena's more proactive style and Depor FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Depor FC. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Union Magdalena arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 55 points compared to Depor FC in 14 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Depor FC having the stronger overall control. Depor FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Union Magdalena Analysis

Placed 5 with 55 points from 34 outings, Union Magdalena continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 48:34 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Depor FC Analysis

With 24 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Depor FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 27:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Union Magdalena won 9 times, Depor FC won 0 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Union Magdalena's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Union Magdalena wins 9, draws 5, Depor FC wins 0

Standings

Primera B: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 2 1 29:13 16 38
W W W W W
2 15 10 2 3 27:15 12 32
W L W W W
3 15 9 4 2 20:10 10 31
W W L D W
4 15 9 2 4 24:14 10 29
W W L W W
5 15 7 5 3 23:15 8 26
L L W D W
6 15 6 5 4 16:14 2 23
W W D W L
7 15 6 2 7 21:20 1 20
W L W L W
8 15 5 5 5 15:14 1 20
L W W L D
9 15 4 7 4 13:14 -1 19
D D L W L
10 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L L D W
11 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
L W W L D
12 15 2 7 6 15:20 -5 13
L D D D D
13 15 2 7 6 14:19 -5 13
D L D L D
14 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
D W L L L
15 15 1 6 8 12:23 -11 9
L L L D W
16 15 1 4 10 9:23 -14 7
L L L L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)