CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
14.06.2026 19:00
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Referee: F. Jimenez Lazo
Union La Calera
Match Timeline
Universidad de Chile
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
N. Ramirez · Assist: M. Morales
Universidad de Chile
16'
Eduardo Vargas · Assist: M. G. Guerrero Pena
Universidad de Chile
🟨
28'
Y. W. Andia Leon
Union La Calera
🟨
28'
Eduardo Vargas
Universidad de Chile
44'
M. Campos · Assist: K. Mendez
Union La Calera
58'
S. Saez
Union La Calera
🟨
59'
Y. Leiva
Union La Calera
🔄
64'
Y. Leiva ↔ C. Villanueva
Union La Calera
🔄
64'
A. Arce ↔ J. Lucero
Universidad de Chile
🟨
65'
J. Lucero
Universidad de Chile
🔄
71'
I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez ↔ L. Assadi
Universidad de Chile
🔄
76'
M. Campos ↔ F. Pozzo
Union La Calera
🟨
77'
G. Castellon
Universidad de Chile
🔄
78'
M. G. Guerrero Pena ↔ J. Altamirano
Universidad de Chile
🔄
78'
N. Ramirez ↔ B. Tamayo
Universidad de Chile
🔄
82'
↔ B. Oyarzo Munoz
Union La Calera
🟨
90+9'
M. Morales
Universidad de Chile

Union La Calera vs Universidad de Chile Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 37.8%
Draw 15.4%
Universidad de Chile Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1
Universidad de Chile1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera Union La Calera
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WLDWL
13 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
6
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
5
3.36
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union La Calera Union La Calera 14 matches
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 14 matches
Union La Calera Statistic Universidad de Chile
5 Wins 5
2 Draws 5
7 Losses 4
16 Goals For 13
21 Goals Against 11
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 6
9 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 6
3.36 Shots On Goal 4
10.43 Total Shots 12
5.57 Corners 5.85
51.6% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Universidad de Chile's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Universidad de Chile. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Universidad de Chile carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 20 points while Union La Calera sit 16 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Union La Calera Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Union La Calera still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats with a 12:26 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on S. Saez (7 goals), K. Mendez (4 goals), R. Caseres (2 goals), with creative support from K. Mendez (5 assists), S. Saez (1 assists), C. Diaz (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Universidad de Chile are currently 9 in the standings with 20 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 13:8 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through Eduardo Vargas (4 goals), J. Altamirano (2 goals), M. G. Guerrero Pena (2 goals), with creative support from Fabián Hormazábal (2 assists), Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), M. G. Guerrero Pena (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 4 times, Universidad de Chile won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:29 from Union La Calera's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-2-3-1 / Universidad de Chile 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 4, draws 3, Universidad de Chile wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
9 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
10 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D D L D
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 20 6 4 10 16:34 -18 22
W L L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L