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25.10.2026 18:00
Municipal Nicolas Chahuan
Referee: Cristian Garay
Union La Calera
Match Timeline
U. Catolica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
Nicolás Avellaneda
Union La Calera
VAR
38'
Justo Giani
U. Catolica
⚽
40'
Fernando Zampedri
U. Catolica
🟨
44'
Camilo Moya
Union La Calera
⚽
45+3'
Sebastián Sáez · Assist: Christopher Díaz
Union La Calera
🔄
45'
Matías Campos López ↔ Brian Nicolás Ferreyra
Union La Calera
🔄
45'
Joan Cruz ↔ Bayron Oyarzo
Union La Calera
VAR
51'
Sebastián Sáez
Union La Calera
🔄
56'
Diego Corral Contreras ↔ Clemente Montes
U. Catolica
🔄
56'
Justo Giani ↔ Martin Gomez
U. Catolica
⚽
58'
Brian Nicolás Ferreyra · Assist: Bayron Oyarzo
Union La Calera
🔄
62'
Joaquín Soto ↔ Martín Hiriart Espinoza
Union La Calera
🔄
70'
Sebastián Andrés Arancibia Flores ↔ Branco Ampuero
U. Catolica
🔄
70'
Matias Palavecino ↔ Jimmy Martínez
U. Catolica
🔄
80'
Fernando Zuqui ↔ Juan Francisco Rossel
U. Catolica
🟥
84'
Jimmy Martínez
U. Catolica
🟨
90+3'
Jhojan Valencia
U. Catolica
🔄
90+3'
Camilo Moya ↔ Vicente Lavín
Union La Calera
🟨
90+3'
Branco Ampuero
U. Catolica
🟨
90+6'
Bayron Oyarzo
Union La Calera
⚽
90+7'
Bayron Oyarzo
Union La Calera

Union La Calera vs U. Catolica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
63.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union La Calera Win 22.2%
Draw 4.1%
U. Catolica Win 73.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union La Calera1.2
U. Catolica1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union La Calera Union La Calera
D D D W L
4 GF / 4 GA
U. Catolica U. Catolica
D D W W W
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
14
BTTS Yes
24
16
Over 2.5
27
3.55
Shots on Goal
4.39

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union La Calera Union La Calera 30 matches
U. Catolica U. Catolica 39 matches
Union La Calera Statistic U. Catolica
7 Wins 22
10 Draws 7
13 Losses 10
34 Goals For 74
42 Goals Against 51
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
14 BTTS Yes 24
21 Over 1.5 33
16 Over 2.5 27
8 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 7
3.55 Shots On Goal 4.39
10.73 Total Shots 12.74
5.59 Corners 4.9
50.1% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around U. Catolica's more proactive style and Union La Calera's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward U. Catolica. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union La Calera expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and U. Catolica in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U. Catolica having the stronger overall control. U. Catolica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 42 points while Union La Calera sit 16 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. U. Catolica look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union La Calera Analysis

Union La Calera sit 16 with 18 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 20:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Sáez (3 goals), K. Méndez (2 goals), Christopher Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from K. Méndez (4 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), B. Oyarzo (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 42 points after 23 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a 50:33 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on F. Zampedri (15 goals), J. Giani (5 goals), C. Montes (3 goals), with creative support from M. Palavecino (4 assists), J. Giani (3 assists), C. Montes (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 3 times, U. Catolica won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:21 from Union La Calera's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Union La Calera 4-2-3-1 / U. Catolica 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Union La Calera wins 3, draws 6, U. Catolica wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 57:29 28 58
W D L D D
2 26 14 6 6 45:21 24 48
L W W W W
3 26 14 4 8 53:37 16 46
W D L W W
4 26 12 4 10 48:37 11 40
W W D L W
5 26 11 7 8 43:33 10 40
D L W W L
6 26 11 5 10 39:37 2 38
L D D L W
7 25 10 5 10 38:35 3 35
W L W L L
8 26 10 5 11 28:30 -2 35
W L D D L
9 26 9 8 9 30:39 -9 35
L W L L L
10 26 8 10 8 39:42 -3 34
D W L L W
11 25 9 6 10 34:40 -6 33
D D W W D
12 26 9 4 13 30:39 -9 31
W D L L W
13 26 7 9 10 28:35 -7 30
L D D W W
14 26 7 6 13 38:48 -10 27
D D D W L
15 26 6 5 15 19:47 -28 23
L L D L L
16 26 5 6 15 23:43 -20 21
L W D W L