Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
61.2%
|
3.16 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.88 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
70.9%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Union La Calera
26 matches
D. La Serena
27 matches
| Union La Calera | Statistic | D. La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 11 | Losses | 10 |
| 34 | Goals For | 40 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.74 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.4 | Shots On Goal | 4.35 |
| 10.2 | Total Shots | 11.4 |
| 5.45 | Corners | 4.1 |
| 50.3% | Ball Possession | 47.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union La Calera have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring D. La Serena. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union La Calera expected to line up in 5-3-2 and D. La Serena in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward D. La Serena having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Union La Calera sit 16 with 14 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats with a 17:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Méndez (3 goals), Sebastián Sáez (3 goals), Francisco Jose Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Méndez (4 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), Nicolás Avellaneda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 20 matches, D. La Serena have collected 24 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:34 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jeisson Vargas (4 goals), Felipe Chamorro (3 goals), Ángelo Henríquez (2 goals), with creative support from Jeisson Vargas (5 assists), Felipe Chamorro (2 assists), Bruno Gutiérrez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Union La Calera won 5 times, D. La Serena won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:13 from Union La Calera's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.