CHILE PRIMERA B
16.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK
Union Espanola
Match Timeline
San Marcos de Arica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
C. Guerra
Union Espanola
8'
A. Barboza
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
13'
W. Machado
Union Espanola
35'
F. Massri
Union Espanola
🟨
43'
A. Araos
Union Espanola
🟨
44'
C. Guerra
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
46'
F. Ratotti ↔ P. Rubio
Union Espanola
🔄
46'
A. Araos ↔ B. Droguett
Union Espanola
🔄
46'
M. Moya Godoy ↔ M. Iturra
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
60'
N. Donadell ↔ E. Benavides
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
80'
R. Cordero ↔ M. Celis
Union Espanola
🔄
84'
A. Vilches Araneda ↔ T. Ovando
Union Espanola
🔄
84'
A. Maidana ↔ N. Zedan
San Marcos de Arica
🟨
89'
F. Massri
Union Espanola
🟨
90+2'
K. Contreras
Union Espanola
🟨
90+7'
M. Iturra
San Marcos de Arica
🔄
90+8'
F. Massri ↔ G. Norambuena
Union Espanola
🔄
90+2'
G. Reyes ↔ N. Orrego
San Marcos de Arica

Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union Espanola Win 26.7%
Draw 27.8%
San Marcos de Arica Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Espanola1.15
San Marcos de Arica1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Espanola Union Espanola
WWDLW
30 GF / 34 GA
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica
WLDWL
25 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
15
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Espanola Union Espanola 25 matches
San Marcos de Arica San Marcos de Arica 25 matches
Union Espanola Statistic San Marcos de Arica
9 Wins 7
6 Draws 10
10 Losses 8
30 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 27
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features San Marcos de Arica's more proactive style and Union Espanola's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Marcos de Arica. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Marcos de Arica having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Union Espanola Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Union Espanola have collected 25 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 25:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Marcos de Arica Analysis

San Marcos de Arica arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 30 points after 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 23:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 1 times, San Marcos de Arica won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Union Espanola's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.3%)
Predicted formations: Union Espanola - / San Marcos de Arica 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Union Espanola wins 1, draws 0, San Marcos de Arica wins 1

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 24 11 9 4 42:27 15 42
D L W L W
3 25 11 7 7 41:38 3 40
W D D L W
4 24 10 8 6 41:24 17 38
D L W W D
5 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
6 25 10 8 7 36:33 3 38
D W W D W
7 25 9 9 7 31:23 8 36
W L W L L
8 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
9 25 10 4 11 26:31 -5 34
L L W L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 25 6 10 9 33:30 3 28
W L L L W
13 25 6 9 10 22:38 -16 27
L W L D W
14 25 4 10 11 26:38 -12 22
D W D D L
15 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
16 25 4 6 15 23:40 -17 18
L W W W W