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27.07.2026 23:00
Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK
Union Espanola
Match Timeline
Recoleta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
45'
F. Tomarelli
Recoleta
⚽
50'
M. Wassenne
Union Espanola
⚽
52'
R. Riveros
Recoleta
🟨
56'
U. Ojeda
Union Espanola
🟨
57'
R. Riveros
Recoleta
🔄
58'
U. Ojeda ↔ P. Rubio
Union Espanola
⚽
64'
A. Vilches Araneda
Union Espanola
🔄
66'
M. Arguinarena ↔ G. Alvarez
Recoleta
🔄
66'
F. Flores ↔ P. Sanchez
Recoleta
🟨
70'
B. Provoste
Recoleta
🔄
78'
P. Aranguiz ↔ W. Machado
Union Espanola
🔄
78'
C. Rodriguez ↔ D. Viveros
Recoleta
🟨
79'
P. Rubio
Union Espanola
🔄
80'
I. Nunez ↔ B. Jauregui
Union Espanola
🔄
81'
B. Provoste ↔ F. Baez
Recoleta

Union Espanola vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Espanola Win 53.8%
Draw 19.7%
Recoleta Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Espanola1.35
Recoleta1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Espanola Union Espanola
L L D D D
6 GF / 10 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
D D L D D
4 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
13
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Espanola Union Espanola 21 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 20 matches
Union Espanola Statistic Recoleta
7 Wins 7
6 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
25 Goals For 29
27 Goals Against 32
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
13 BTTS Yes 12
18 Over 1.5 16
11 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Union Espanola's more proactive style and Recoleta's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Recoleta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Union Espanola Analysis

So far, Union Espanola have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Vilches Araneda (7 goals), P. Rubio (3 goals), K. Contreras (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Recoleta Analysis

So far, Recoleta have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 24:24 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Sanchez (5 goals), G. Estigarribia (4 goals), C. Gonzalez (3 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Union Espanola won 2 times, Recoleta won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Union Espanola's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.3%)
H2H summary: Union Espanola wins 2, draws 0, Recoleta wins 2

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 52:30 22 54
W W L W W
2 29 15 9 5 44:30 14 54
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 48:32 16 50
W W L L L
4 29 13 9 7 51:26 25 48
W D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 45:44 1 46
L L W W W
6 29 11 10 8 35:28 7 43
W D L W W
7 29 11 9 9 41:43 -2 42
D L L W D
8 29 11 8 10 43:42 1 41
D L W W W
9 29 11 6 12 34:37 -3 39
L W L L D
10 29 9 11 9 42:33 9 38
W D W W W
11 29 11 5 13 29:36 -7 38
W D L L L
12 29 9 9 11 45:41 4 36
L D W L D
13 29 7 10 12 26:46 -20 31
L D W L L
14 29 4 12 13 29:43 -14 24
D D L L D
15 29 5 8 16 19:53 -34 23
L D L L L
16 29 5 6 18 28:47 -19 21
L L W L L