GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Union Berlin
Match Timeline
FC Augsburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. Ilic · Assist: A. Schafer
Union Berlin
🟨
24'
Oliver Burke
Union Berlin
🟨
26'
Christopher Trimmel
Union Berlin
42'
A. Ilic · Assist: O. Burke
Union Berlin
54'
A. Schafer · Assist: L. Burcu
Union Berlin
🔄
55'
M. Komur ↔ R. Ribeiro
FC Augsburg
🔄
55'
Y. Keitel ↔ H. Massengo
FC Augsburg
🔄
61'
M. Wolf ↔ M. Pedersen
FC Augsburg
🔄
61'
C. Matsima ↔ N. Banks
FC Augsburg
🟨
63'
Han-Noah Massengo
FC Augsburg
🔄
64'
C. Trimmel ↔ J. Juranovic
Union Berlin
🔄
65'
I. Ansah ↔ Jeong Woo-Yeong
Union Berlin
🟨
70'
Aljoscha Kemlein
Union Berlin
🔄
71'
L. Burcu ↔ T. Skarke
Union Berlin
🔄
77'
M. Gregoritsch ↔ U. Ogundu
FC Augsburg
🔄
86'
A. Ilic ↔ L. Querfeld
Union Berlin
🔄
86'
O. Burke ↔ D. Bogdanov
Union Berlin
89'
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Union Berlin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
97.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Union Berlin Win 27.9%
Draw 20%
FC Augsburg Win 52.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin1.42
FC Augsburg1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Berlin Union Berlin
WWDLW
40 GF / 58 GA
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
WLDWL
45 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
21
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
20
3.76
Shots on Goal
4.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Berlin Union Berlin 33 matches
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg 33 matches
Union Berlin Statistic FC Augsburg
9 Wins 12
9 Draws 7
15 Losses 14
40 Goals For 45
58 Goals Against 57
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
21 BTTS Yes 21
25 Over 1.5 28
20 Over 2.5 20
15 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
3.76 Shots On Goal 4.73
12.33 Total Shots 13.24
5.03 Corners 4.48
40% Ball Possession 43.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Union Berlin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Augsburg. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Berlin expected to line up in 3-5-2 and FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Augsburg having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Union Berlin Analysis

Union Berlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 36 points from 33 matches. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 40:58, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Burke (6 goals), D. Doekhi (5 goals), I. Ansah (5 goals), with creative support from A. Ilic (9 assists), Christopher Trimmel (3 assists), I. Ansah (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Augsburg Analysis

FC Augsburg sit 9 with 43 points after 33 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 45:57 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Anton Kade (6 goals), F. Rieder (6 goals), Michael Gregoritsch (6 goals), with creative support from Alexis Claude-Maurice (5 assists), D. Giannoulis (5 assists), M. Komur (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin won 5 times, FC Augsburg won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:17 from Union Berlin's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Union Berlin 3-5-2 / FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Union Berlin 5, FC Augsburg 5
H2H summary: Union Berlin wins 5, draws 4, FC Augsburg wins 6
Stats
Union Berlin Union Berlin
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
4 Corner Kicks 9
6 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Goal 1
3 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 5
450 Total passes 448
376 Passes accurate 369
3.68 expected_goals 0.61
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Union Berlin
Formation
FC Augsburg
C. Klaus
C. Klaus
C. Trimmel
C. Trimmel
D. Doekhi
D. Doekhi
D. Leite
D. Leite
T. Rothe
T. Rothe
A. Schafer
🎯
A. Schafer
A. Kemlein
A. Kemlein
O. Burke
🎯
O. Burke
I. Ansah
I. Ansah
L. Burcu
🎯
L. Burcu
A. Ilic
⚽ 2
A. Ilic
F. Dahmen
F. Dahmen
C. Matsima
C. Matsima
J. Gouweleeuw
J. Gouweleeuw
C. Zesiger
C. Zesiger
M. Wolf
M. Wolf
Y. Keitel
Y. Keitel
F. Rieder
F. Rieder
R. Fellhauer
R. Fellhauer
A. Kade
A. Kade
M. Komur
M. Komur
M. Gregoritsch
M. Gregoritsch
Union Berlin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
C. Klaus
G
28
C. Trimmel
↓ 64' 🟨 26'
D
5
D. Doekhi
D
4
D. Leite
D
15
T. Rothe
D
13
A. Schafer
⚽ 54' 🎯 10'
M
6
A. Kemlein
🟨 70'
M
7
O. Burke
🎯 42' ↓ 86' 🟨 24'
M
10
I. Ansah
↓ 65'
M
9
L. Burcu
🎯 54' ↓ 71'
M
23
A. Ilic
⚽ 10' ⚽ 42' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
48
T. Wisbereit
G
24
R. Skov
M
33
A. Kral
M
18
J. Juranovic
↑ 64'
D
21
T. Skarke
↑ 71'
M
19
J. Haberer
M
11
Jeong Woo-Yeong
⚽ 89' ↑ 65'
M
14
L. Querfeld
↑ 86'
D
30
D. Bogdanov
↑ 86'
F
FC Augsburg 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
F. Dahmen
G
5
C. Matsima
↓ 61'
D
6
J. Gouweleeuw
D
16
C. Zesiger
D
27
M. Wolf
↓ 61'
M
14
Y. Keitel
↓ 55'
M
32
F. Rieder
M
19
R. Fellhauer
M
30
A. Kade
F
36
M. Komur
↓ 55'
F
38
M. Gregoritsch
↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
25
D. Klein
G
22
N. Labrovic
G
3
M. Pedersen
↑ 61'
D
21
R. Ribeiro
↑ 55'
F
40
N. Banks
↑ 61'
D
39
U. Ogundu
↑ 77'
F
4
H. Massengo
↑ 55' 🟨 63'
M
31
K. Schlotterbeck
D
Last matches: Union Berlin
12.07.26
Fri
Union Berlin
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
0
2
L
09.07.26
Fri
Union Berlin
Chemnitzer FC
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Union Berlin
Optik Rathenow
12
2
W
10.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
24.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1
3
L
18.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
05.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
21.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayern München
0
4
L
15.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
08.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
1
L
21.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
06.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
31.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
24.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
0
3
L
18.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
1
1
D
15.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
Last matches: FC Augsburg
09.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
18.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
2
1
W
10.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
04.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
2
5
L
14.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
07.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
27.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
21.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
15.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
31.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayern München
2
1
W
18.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
2
2
D
15.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
1
D
11.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
4
L
20.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
0
0
D
13.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
H2H: Union Berlin vs FC Augsburg
16.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
15.01.26
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
1
D
17.05.25
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
2
W
15.01.25
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
12.04.24
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
2
0
L
25.11.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
06.05.23
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
1
0
L
07.01.23
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
0
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
0
W
09.11.22
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
2
D
05.02.22
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
2
0
L
11.09.21
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
0
D
23.01.21
H2H
FC Augsburg
Union Berlin
2
1
L
19.09.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
25.01.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
0
W
Last matches: Union Berlin
02.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
18.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
05.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1
4
L
21.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
W
06.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
24.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
0
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
12.12.25
Bun
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
1
2
L
08.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayern München
2
2
D
01.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
0
0
D
17.10.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
1
W
28.09.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
13.09.25
Bun
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
23.08.25
Bun
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
H2H at home: Union Berlin
16.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
15.01.25
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
25.11.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
07.01.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
0
W
09.11.22
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
2
D
11.09.21
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
0
D
19.09.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
3
L
25.01.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
0
W
Last matches: FC Augsburg
02.05.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
2
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
14.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
07.03.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
3
2
W
07.02.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Bayern München
2
1
W
11.01.26
Bun
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
29.11.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1899 Hoffenheim
0
3
L
09.11.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
2
3
L
18.10.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
27.09.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
1
2
L
14.09.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
23.08.25
Bun
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
3
1
W
H2H away: FC Augsburg
16.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
0
L
15.01.25
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
2
W
25.11.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
07.01.23
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
0
L
09.11.22
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
2
D
11.09.21
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
0
0
D
19.09.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
3
W
25.01.20
H2H
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
2
0
L

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Union Berlin 5 missing
-
D. Kohn
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Raab
Missing Fixture Hand Injury
OUT
-
R. Skov
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Preu
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Ronnow
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
FC Augsburg 5 missing
-
K. Jakic
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
E. Rexhbecaj
Questionable Illness
OUT
-
D. Giannoulis
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Arthur Chaves
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Claude-Maurice
Questionable Ankle Injury
OUT