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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
17.10.2026 13:30
An der Alten Försterei
Referee: Daniel Schlager
Union Berlin
Match Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Ethan Nwaneri
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
7'
Waldemar Anton
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
14'
Serhou Guirassy
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
33'
Janik Haberer
Union Berlin
🟨
35'
Tom Rothe
Union Berlin
🔄
45'
Kastriot Imeri ↔ Emmanuel Latte Lath
Union Berlin
🔄
62'
Maximilian Beier ↔ Konstantinos Karetsas
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
62'
Ethan Nwaneri ↔ Fábio Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
63'
Tim Skarke
Union Berlin
🔄
70'
Tim Skarke ↔ Mekhi Gray
Union Berlin
🔄
70'
Konstantinos Karetsas ↔ Mathis Albert
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
76'
Janik Haberer ↔ Christopher Trimmel
Union Berlin
🔄
76'
András Schäfer ↔ Aljoscha Kemlein
Union Berlin
🔄
90+3'
Woo-Yeong Jeong ↔ Linus Güther
Union Berlin

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.51
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
1.55 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.51 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.25 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
6.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Berlin Win 29.1%
Draw 4.6%
Borussia Dortmund Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin1.62
Borussia Dortmund1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Berlin Union Berlin
WWDLW
31 GF / 36 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
22 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.69
2.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
11
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
5.2
Shots on Goal
5.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Berlin Union Berlin 16 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 13 matches
Union Berlin Statistic Borussia Dortmund
5 Wins 7
4 Draws 2
7 Losses 4
31 Goals For 22
36 Goals Against 15
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
2.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 9
11 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
5.2 Shots On Goal 5.13
13.2 Total Shots 13.88
3.8 Corners 6.13
45.2% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin won 4 times, Borussia Dortmund won 11 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:40 from Union Berlin's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Union Berlin 4-2-3-1 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Union Berlin 5, Borussia Dortmund 3
H2H summary: Union Berlin wins 4, draws 0, Borussia Dortmund wins 11

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 22:5 17 14
W D W W D
2 6 4 2 0 11:4 7 14
D D W W W
3 5 4 1 0 14:4 10 13
W D W W W
4 5 3 1 1 14:8 6 10
W W D W L
5 6 3 1 2 14:10 4 10
W L W L W
6 6 3 1 2 12:11 1 10
W L D L W
7 6 3 0 3 16:11 5 9
L W L W L
8 6 2 3 1 12:12 0 9
D D W D W
9 6 3 0 3 6:15 -9 9
W W W L L
10 6 2 2 2 16:12 4 8
L D L D W
11 6 2 2 2 10:16 -6 8
W L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 8:11 -3 7
L W L D L
13 6 2 0 4 8:10 -2 6
L W L L W
14 6 1 2 3 4:7 -3 5
L L D W D
15 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
D L W L L
16 6 1 2 3 5:17 -12 5
D W L L L
17 5 1 0 4 9:13 -4 3
L L W L L
18 5 0 0 5 7:18 -11 0
L L L L L
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Qualifying
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