BELARUS 1. DIVISION
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Dinamo-Yuni Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uni Minsk Win 26.6%
Draw 22.4%
Smorgon Win 51.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uni Minsk1.16
Smorgon1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uni Minsk Uni Minsk
WWDLW
15 GF / 27 GA
Smorgon Smorgon
WLDWL
26 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uni Minsk Uni Minsk 17 matches
Smorgon Smorgon 21 matches
Uni Minsk Statistic Smorgon
4 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
9 Losses 9
15 Goals For 26
27 Goals Against 33
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
7 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Smorgon. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Smorgon having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Uni Minsk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Uni Minsk Analysis

With 15 points from 16 games and a place of 16, Uni Minsk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 14:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Smorgon Analysis

So far, Smorgon have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 17 points from 16 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Uni Minsk won 1 times, Smorgon won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Uni Minsk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Uni Minsk wins 1, draws 0, Smorgon wins 1
Last matches: Uni Minsk
01.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
26.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Minsk II
1
2
L
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
05.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Lida
0
0
D
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
21.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Ostrovets FC
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Slonim
0
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Orsha
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
3
0
W
Last matches: Smorgon
01.08.26
1.
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
25.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Gomel II
2
0
W
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
05.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Volna
1
3
L
27.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
0
W
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
14.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Minsk II
1
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
31.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Lida
4
4
D
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
16.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
1
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
02.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Dinamo Minsk II
1
3
L
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Slonim
0
2
L
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
04.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
L
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
04.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
Naftan
3
2
W
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
H2H: Uni Minsk vs Smorgon
04.04.26
H2H
Smorgon
Uni Minsk
0
3
W
13.07.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
0
2
L
Last matches: Uni Minsk
01.08.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Bumprom
1
1
D
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
27.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Uni Minsk
13.07.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
0
2
L
Last matches: Smorgon
01.08.26
1.
Smorgon
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0
3
L
11.07.26
1.
Smorgon
Orsha
1
1
D
20.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Bumprom
1
2
L
06.06.26
1.
Smorgon
Osipovichy
5
0
W
23.05.26
1.
Smorgon
Niva
0
3
L
10.05.26
1.
Smorgon
FC Slutsk
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Smorgon
Ostrovets FC
0
0
D
10.04.26
1.
Smorgon
BATE II
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Smorgon
ML Vitebsk
2
4
L
28.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Minsk
1
0
W
18.02.26
Fri
Smorgon
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0
0
D
H2H away: Smorgon
13.07.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
0
2
W

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 3 2 37:18 19 39
W D W D L
2 17 10 5 2 37:19 18 35
L D D W W
3 17 10 3 4 39:19 20 33
W W D W W
4 17 9 3 5 31:20 11 30
L W D L W
5 17 9 3 5 31:27 4 30
W L W D W
6 17 9 2 6 32:27 5 29
W W L W W
7 17 7 5 5 36:25 11 26
L D W L L
8 17 7 4 6 31:23 8 25
D L D L L
9 16 7 4 5 30:22 8 25
L D L W D
10 17 8 1 8 25:31 -6 25
W W L W L
11 17 7 1 9 21:32 -11 22
W W W L W
12 16 5 3 8 19:29 -10 18
W L D W L
13 17 4 5 8 24:27 -3 17
L L D W W
14 17 4 5 8 20:27 -7 17
L W D L W
15 17 4 4 9 15:27 -12 16
D L W D L
16 17 2 9 6 19:26 -7 15
L L D D D
17 17 2 5 10 21:41 -20 11
L L L L L
18 17 3 1 13 20:48 -28 10
W W L L L