BELARUS 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Dinamo-Yuni Stadium
Uni Minsk
Match Timeline
Niva
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
P. Klenye
Uni Minsk
22'
A. Kuratnik · Assist: D. Fedortsov
Niva
33'
A. Tkhagalegov · Assist: R. Kozel
Niva
34'
D. Galuza · Assist: N. Leshkevich
Niva
🟨
43'
D. Zinovich
Uni Minsk
🔄
46'
P. Klenye ↔ V. Kostyukovich
Uni Minsk
🔄
46'
T. Statkevich ↔ D. Khvostovich
Uni Minsk
🟨
48'
D. Podbereznyi
Uni Minsk
🟨
56'
V. Bondarenko
Niva
58'
V. Kostyukovich · Assist: A. Krotov
Uni Minsk
🔄
64'
P. Pampukha ↔ I. Monich
Niva
🔄
64'
A. Kuratnik ↔ V. Skomarovskiy
Niva
🟨
70'
A. Krotov
Uni Minsk
🔄
74'
E. Semenov ↔ P. Vakulich
Uni Minsk
🔄
74'
A. Krotov ↔ A. Nguintsop
Uni Minsk
🔄
75'
V. Bondarenko ↔ E. Mashagin
Niva
🔄
81'
D. Galuza ↔ V. Milyutin
Niva
🟨
83'
D. Galuza
Niva
🔄
86'
E. Sakuta ↔ U. Fezhanka
Uni Minsk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Uni Minsk Win 24.9%
Draw 5.9%
Niva Win 69.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Uni Minsk1.19
Niva1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Uni Minsk Uni Minsk
WWDLW
11 GF / 21 GA
Niva Niva
WLDWL
28 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
4
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Uni Minsk Uni Minsk 12 matches
Niva Niva 15 matches
Uni Minsk Statistic Niva
3 Wins 7
2 Draws 3
7 Losses 5
11 Goals For 28
21 Goals Against 24
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
4 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 11
3 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Niva's more proactive style and Uni Minsk's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Niva having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Niva. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Uni Minsk have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Uni Minsk Analysis

Uni Minsk approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 11 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 11:17, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through A. Nguintsop (2 goals), K. Elagin (2 goals), Y. Khramtsevich (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Khramtsevich (3 assists), A. Nguintsop (1 assists), P. Klenye (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Niva Analysis

So far, Niva have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 17 points from 11 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 19:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Fedortsov (7 goals), P. Pampukha (4 goals), I. Monich (2 goals), with creative support from D. Galuza (4 assists), D. Fedortsov (2 assists), D. Sibilev (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Uni Minsk won 0 times, Niva won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Uni Minsk's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
H2H summary: Uni Minsk wins 0, draws 1, Niva wins 2

Lineups

Uni Minsk
Formation
Niva
R. Babaev
R. Babaev
D. Turovets
D. Turovets
D. Podbereznyi
D. Podbereznyi
E. Sakuta
E. Sakuta
E. Semenov
E. Semenov
D. Zinovich
D. Zinovich
P. Klenye
P. Klenye
E. Snapkov
E. Snapkov
A. Krotov
🎯
A. Krotov
T. Statkevich
T. Statkevich
D. Chergeyko
D. Chergeyko
N. Dovnar
N. Dovnar
D. Galuza
D. Galuza
D. Sibilev
D. Sibilev
A. Kuratnik
A. Kuratnik
V. Shcherbo
V. Shcherbo
N. Leshkevich
🎯
N. Leshkevich
D. Fedortsov
🎯
D. Fedortsov
P. Pampukha
P. Pampukha
A. Tkhagalegov
A. Tkhagalegov
R. Kozel
🎯
R. Kozel
V. Bondarenko
V. Bondarenko
Uni Minsk 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
R. Babaev
3
D. Turovets
6
D. Podbereznyi
🟨 48'
8
E. Sakuta
↓ 86'
10
E. Semenov
↓ 74'
22
D. Zinovich
🟨 43'
23
P. Klenye
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
69
E. Snapkov
77
A. Krotov
🎯 58' ↓ 74' 🟨 70'
88
T. Statkevich
↓ 46'
99
D. Chergeyko
Substitutes
35
M. Kovruk
5
P. Vakulich
↑ 74'
9
A. Nguintsop
↑ 74'
12
E. Voyna
15
R. Sidorovich
18
V. Kostyukovich
⚽ 58' ↑ 46'
19
D. Selivanov
21
I. Amialiusik
67
D. Khvostovich
↑ 46'
81
U. Fezhanka
↑ 86'
Niva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
N. Dovnar
7
D. Galuza
⚽ 34' ↓ 81' 🟨 83'
8
D. Sibilev
9
A. Kuratnik
⚽ 22' ↓ 64'
18
V. Shcherbo
21
N. Leshkevich
🎯 34'
23
D. Fedortsov
🎯 22'
29
P. Pampukha
↓ 64'
41
A. Tkhagalegov
⚽ 33'
88
R. Kozel
🎯 33'
99
V. Bondarenko
↓ 75' 🟨 56'
Substitutes
35
D. Kashtelyan
3
M. Druchik
4
V. Milyutin
↑ 81'
10
V. Dybin
15
I. Monich
↑ 64'
20
A. Martysevich
47
V. Skomarovskiy
↑ 64'
69
E. Mashagin
↑ 75'
77
V. Shubovich
91
A. Voronovich
Last matches: Uni Minsk
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
05.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Lida
0
0
D
21.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0
4
L
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
06.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Dinamo Minsk II
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Ostrovets FC
2
3
L
23.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Slonim
0
3
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
10.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
0
3
L
02.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1
0
W
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
18.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Orsha
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
04.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Smorgon
3
0
W
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
04.07.26
1.
Niva
BATE II
5
0
W
21.06.26
1.
Niva
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
6
0
W
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
07.06.26
1.
Niva
Orsha
1
1
D
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
23.05.26
1.
Niva
Smorgon
3
0
W
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
10.05.26
1.
Niva
Minsk II
3
1
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
26.04.26
1.
Niva
Lida
1
2
L
19.04.26
1.
Niva
Shakhter Soligorsk
2
2
D
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H: Uni Minsk vs Niva
27.06.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
30.08.25
H2H
Niva
Uni Minsk
2
2
D
26.04.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
0
4
L
Last matches: Uni Minsk
11.07.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Osipovichy
1
0
W
13.06.26
1.
Uni Minsk
FC Slutsk
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Uni Minsk
BATE II
1
1
D
24.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Gomel II
0
2
L
11.04.26
1.
Uni Minsk
Volna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Uni Minsk
27.06.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
L
26.04.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
0
4
L
Last matches: Niva
10.07.26
1.
Niva
Slonim
2
2
D
14.06.26
1.
Niva
Gomel II
2
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Niva
Volna
0
1
L
17.05.26
1.
Niva
Bumprom
1
0
W
02.05.26
1.
Niva
Osipovichy
4
2
W
11.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1
3
L
04.04.26
1.
Niva
FC Slutsk
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Niva
Neman
0
7
L
04.03.26
Fri
Niva
Baranovichi
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Niva
FC Minsk
1
1
D
H2H away: Niva
27.06.26
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
1
3
W
26.04.25
H2H
Uni Minsk
Niva
0
4
W

Standings

Division 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 11 2 2 32:16 16 35
W D L W W
2 15 10 4 1 37:16 21 34
D W W W W
3 15 8 3 4 27:23 4 27
W D W W W
4 15 8 3 4 28:17 11 27
D L W L D
5
Niva Away
15 8 3 4 35:18 17 27
D W W W W
6 15 7 4 4 33:20 13 25
W L L W L
7 15 7 3 5 30:21 9 24
D L L W W
8 14 7 3 4 29:20 9 24
L W D W L
9 15 7 2 6 25:25 0 23
L W W W W
10 15 6 1 8 21:31 -10 19
L W L L L
11 15 4 5 6 23:21 2 17
D W W L L
12 15 5 1 9 18:31 -13 16
W L W L L
13 14 4 3 7 15:25 -10 15
D W L L L
14 15 2 9 4 18:21 -3 15
D D D L D
15 15 4 3 8 13:24 -11 15
W D L L L
16 15 3 5 7 18:24 -6 14
D L W L W
17 15 2 5 8 20:37 -17 11
L L L L W
18 15 1 1 13 15:47 -32 4
L L L W L
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Promotion)
Relegation