MEXICO › LIGA MX
22.04.2026 01:00
Estadio Olimpico Universitario
Referee: O. M. Garcia
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Match Timeline
FC Juarez
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Ettson Ayón
FC Juarez
⚽
35'
F. J. Nevarez Pulgarin · Assist: E. Lopez
FC Juarez
⚽
45'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I. · Assist: Puma
FC Juarez
🔄
46'
Juninho ↔ A. Rico
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
VAR
54'
Eder Lopez
FC Juarez
🟥
55'
Eder Lopez
FC Juarez
🔄
57'
A. Medina ↔ U. Antuna
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
60'
Puma ↔ J. Aquino
FC Juarez
🔄
60'
J. M. Torres Ramirez I. ↔ Guilherme Castilho
FC Juarez
🟨
61'
Nathan Silva
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
VAR
64'
Robert Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
66'
E. Ayon ↔ L. Dupuy
FC Juarez
⚽
66'
G. Martinez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
70'
G. Martinez · Assist: J. Carrillo
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
77'
Jordan Carrillo
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
78'
D. Garcia ↔ H. E. Martinez Yepez
FC Juarez
🟨
82'
Guilherme Castilho
FC Juarez
🔄
82'
R. Lopez ↔ T. Leone
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
86'
R. Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
88'
Francisco Nevarez
FC Juarez
🟨
90+7'
José García
FC Juarez
🔄
90+4'
J. Carrillo ↔ D. Ramirez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
90'
R. Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs FC Juarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
87.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.5%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 63.3%
Draw 10.4%
FC Juarez Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.64
FC Juarez1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WWDLW
53 GF / 43 GA
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WLDWL
53 GF / 61 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
22
BTTS Yes
29
16
Over 2.5
24
3.82
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 33 matches
FC Juarez FC Juarez 36 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Statistic FC Juarez
13 Wins 11
12 Draws 10
8 Losses 15
53 Goals For 53
43 Goals Against 61
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
22 BTTS Yes 29
27 Over 1.5 32
16 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
3.82 Shots On Goal 4.06
11.88 Total Shots 12.42
4.03 Corners 4.47
50.3% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around U.N.A.M. - Pumas's more proactive style and FC Juarez's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Juarez. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to FC Juarez in 12 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and FC Juarez in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Juarez having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 30 points after 15 matches. The return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 26:15, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Angulo (7 goals), G. Martinez (7 goals), Juninho (7 goals), with creative support from Adalberto Carrasquilla (5 assists), J. Ruvalcaba (4 assists), Juninho (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FC Juarez Analysis

So far, FC Juarez have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 16 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 21:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Óscar Estupiñán (15 goals), Guilherme Castilho (7 goals), José Luis Rodríguez (4 goals), with creative support from José Luis Rodríguez (8 assists), Alejandro Mayorga (3 assists), Óscar Estupiñán (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 7 times, FC Juarez won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-1-4-2 / FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 7, draws 4, FC Juarez wins 3

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs