SWEDEN ELITETTAN
06.09.2026 10:00
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå W
Match Timeline
Elfsborg W
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
L. Nystrom
Elfsborg W
🔄
46'
M. Josefsson ↔ T. Olausson
Elfsborg W
🔄
46'
L. Nystrom ↔ S. Jensen
Elfsborg W
🔄
56'
T. Ahlen ↔ L. M. Westbom
Umeå W
56'
T. Loren
Elfsborg W
🟥
63'
S. Jensen
Elfsborg W
🔄
68'
V. Lopez ↔ N. Andersson
Elfsborg W
🔄
68'
I. Bergstrom ↔ E. Nilsson
Elfsborg W
🔄
71'
E. Fjallstrom ↔ J. Holmgren
Umeå W
🔄
82'
C. Larsson ↔ T. Sahlman
Umeå W
🔄
82'
↔ V. Metaj
Elfsborg W
89'
A. Nygren · Assist: I. Goldmann
Umeå W

Umeå W vs Elfsborg W Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Umeå W Win 28.2%
Draw 3.8%
Elfsborg W Win 67.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå W1.09
Elfsborg W1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå W Umeå W
WWDLW
25 GF / 21 GA
Elfsborg W Elfsborg W
WLDWL
31 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.94
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.38
9
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå W Umeå W 16 matches
Elfsborg W Elfsborg W 16 matches
Umeå W Statistic Elfsborg W
7 Wins 11
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 1
25 Goals For 31
21 Goals Against 6
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.38
9 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Elfsborg W. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Elfsborg W having the stronger overall control. Elfsborg W carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 37 points while Umeå W sit 5 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Umeå W Analysis

Umeå W come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 24 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 25:21 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Elfsborg W Analysis

Elfsborg W come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 37 points after 16 matches. They have recorded 11 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 31:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Umeå W won 1 times, Elfsborg W won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Umeå W's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Umeå W wins 1, draws 0, Elfsborg W wins 2

Standings

Elitettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 3 3 38:24 14 42
W L W L W
2 19 12 5 2 49:22 27 41
L D W W W
3 18 12 5 1 35:9 26 41
W W D W L
4 19 13 2 4 41:24 17 41
W L D W W
5 19 8 5 6 27:27 0 29
W D D L L
6 18 8 4 6 28:22 6 28
W D L W W
7 19 7 4 8 27:30 -3 25
L W L W W
8 18 5 5 8 20:26 -6 20
D L D L L
9 18 5 5 8 20:26 -6 20
L D D L L
10 18 5 4 9 25:31 -6 19
L L D L L
11 18 4 6 8 16:25 -9 18
W L D W L
12 18 4 4 10 20:31 -11 16
W W L L L
13 18 2 5 11 19:46 -27 11
L D D W L
14 19 2 1 16 18:40 -22 7
L L W L W
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation