SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
30.08.2026 11:45
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Match Timeline
Vasalund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
28'
Z. Bawa · Assist: S. Forsman
Umeå FC
32'
A. Khan
Vasalund
35'
Z. Bawa · Assist: R. Hadad
Umeå FC
🟨
46'
R. Andersson
Umeå FC
🔄
46'
N. Linden ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
47'
E. Mac Callum
Vasalund
🟨
53'
A. Shakir
Umeå FC
63'
S. Forsman
Umeå FC
🔄
65'
E. Mac Callum ↔ M. Nikolic
Vasalund
🔄
65'
F. Lukic ↔ C. Sliwo
Vasalund
🟨
68'
A. Shakir
Umeå FC
🟥
68'
A. Shakir
Umeå FC
🔄
69'
R. Hadad ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🔄
80'
E. Olawore ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
🔄
83'
J. Lundstrom ↔ K. Tadayon
Vasalund
🔄
83'
M. Ostergren ↔ B. Bilgec
Vasalund
🔄
87'
Z. Bawa ↔ N. Hakansson
Umeå FC
🔄
87'
S. Forsman ↔ E. Hrastovina
Umeå FC

Umeå FC vs Vasalund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.40
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.7%
1.30
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.40
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 40.3%
Draw 22.4%
Vasalund Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.56
Vasalund1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
41 GF / 43 GA
Vasalund Vasalund
WLDWL
44 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
16
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 29 matches
Vasalund Vasalund 27 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Vasalund
9 Wins 10
6 Draws 8
14 Losses 9
41 Goals For 44
43 Goals Against 48
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
16 BTTS Yes 21
22 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 19
12 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vasalund. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vasalund having the stronger overall control. Umeå FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Umeå FC Analysis

With 16 points from 17 games and a place of 13, Umeå FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:30 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vasalund Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Vasalund have collected 20 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 24:32 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 5 times, Vasalund won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:18 from Umeå FC's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.6%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 5, draws 4, Vasalund wins 4

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L